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<!--Generated by Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/) on Mon, 28 May 2012 03:06:52 GMT--><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"><title>Money Centered</title><subtitle>Money Centered</subtitle><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/</id><link rel="alternate" type="application/xhtml+xml" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/"/><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/atom.xml"/><updated>2012-05-26T16:01:05Z</updated><generator uri="http://www.squarespace.com/" version="Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/)">Squarespace</generator><entry><title>The Shrinking Market</title><category term="Investment Planning"/><category term="Supply and Demand"/><category term="US Stock Market"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/25/the-shrinking-market.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/25/the-shrinking-market.html"/><author><name>Melissa Joy, CFS®</name></author><published>2012-05-25T12:00:04Z</published><updated>2012-05-25T12:00:04Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120525a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337884097855" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:melissa.joy@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120525b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337884143116" alt="" /></a></span></span>The availability of stocks in the US has been shrinking this year, explaining some of the strength of market gains. In January, <em>Business Week</em> noted that in 2011, companies bought back $397 billion in company equity while issuing only $196 billion of new shares. The trend seems to be continuing in 2012, in spite of a very high profile Facebook IPO in May.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The laws of supply and demand apply to stock and bond returns just as you learned in Econ 101. If new stock shares flood a market, there may be more sellers than buyers. Conversely, if the supply of stock declines, it may help to boost the returns of remaining stocks.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Stock supply can be controlled by decisions made by companies. In order to raise money, companies may borrow from bond markets or banks. An alternative is to issue new stock and potentially dilute the ownership of existing shareholders. If companies happen to have stockpiles of cash, they may choose to pile up the cash, pay-off debt, establish or increase dividends, or buy back stock.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Today, you have a borrowing environment with extraordinarily low interest rates. This makes the decision to issue debt easier to swallow for companies with good credit. You also see record corporate profitability and many large companies have built a war chest of cash irrespective of borrowing. There are other ways the outstanding shares can shrink, like mergers and acquisitions.&nbsp;</p>
<p>For personal investors, fewer shares may mean the potential for stronger returns with investments. It's important to keep in mind, though, that valuation matters and a shrinking stock market may result in higher than appropriate prices. Today we especially note the potential for the shrinking supply of stocks to offset the lack of enthusiasm for stocks and bond favoritism, quietly keeping more balance in markets than headlines about bond flows would indicate.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.&nbsp; Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.</em></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Staying Connected – A Key Factor in Retirement Success</title><category term="Retirement"/><category term="Retirement Success"/><category term="Social Connections"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/23/staying-connected-a-key-factor-in-retirement-success.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/23/staying-connected-a-key-factor-in-retirement-success.html"/><author><name>Sandra D. Adams, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-23T12:00:17Z</published><updated>2012-05-23T12:00:17Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120523a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337270709762" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:sandra.adams@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120523b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337270751589" alt="" /></a></span></span>If you ask most pre-retirees to describe their vision of a successful retirement, you would likely hear words such as family, friends, hobbies, and travel.&nbsp; You would likely NOT hear someone express a desire to be alone and inactive.</p>
<p>Research shows that individuals who experience isolation and inactivity are much more likely to be diagnosed with depression, memory and other health-related problems.&nbsp; One such study conducted by Lisa F. Berkman, an epidemiologist at Yale University, found that people who were not connected to others were <strong>three times as likely to die over the course of 9 years</strong> as those who had strong social ties.&nbsp; Even more interestingly, the same study found that those with strong social ties and poor health behaviors lived longer than those with poor social ties and positive health behaviors.&nbsp;</p>
<p>An expanded version of retirement planning is needed to look beyond income distribution planning and investment policy statements.&nbsp; Planning to maintain vital social connections, whether they are family members, friends, church members, dance partners, etc., seems to be just as important to success in retirement as the stability of your investment portfolio.&nbsp;&nbsp; So as you or your loved ones plan for retirement, think about exploring activities and hobbies, groups and clubs, and consider living arrangements for all of retirement, including early and later retirement.</p>
<p>Contact your financial planner to develop a retirement plan that includes all aspects of your financial life, especially the all-important social connections.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Source:</em><span class="bc"><em>www.hsph.harvard.edu</em></span><em></em></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Transfer On Death</title><category term="Estate Planning"/><category term="TOD"/><category term="Transfer on Death"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/21/transfer-on-death.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/21/transfer-on-death.html"/><author><name>Timothy W. Wyman, CFP®, JD</name></author><published>2012-05-21T12:00:42Z</published><updated>2012-05-21T12:00:42Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120521a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337271459286" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:timothy.wyman@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120521b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337271505895" alt="" /></a></span></span>Estate planning is all about getting WHAT is valuable to you distributed to WHO you want, WHEN you want after you are gone.&nbsp; Getting assets distributed in an efficient and cost effective manner is also important.&nbsp; Avoiding costs of money and time can be accomplished by avoiding the court system for the distribution of an estate.</p>
<p>Probate avoidance is a common estate planning goal for many people. And, rightfully so.&nbsp; While the probate process has been simplified over the years, the fact remains that the probate process continues to be time intensive and potentially costly. In many cases, a revocable living trust is used as a financial tool to avoid probate.&nbsp; Another less known vehicle is the Transfer on Death (&ldquo;TOD&rdquo;) designation that can be added to accounts such as bank accounts and taxable brokerage accounts.</p>
<p>A TOD account acts much like a beneficiary designation on an IRA, 401k or even life insurance policy.&nbsp; At the owner&rsquo;s death, the account bypasses probate and is paid directly to the person named on the TOD form.&nbsp; Some firms may charge $50-$100 to establish a TOD, but many also provide such an account for free, making this a cost effective alternative to having a Living Trust drafted.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.</em></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Sell in May and Go Away</title><category term="Investment Planning"/><category term="Investment Strategy"/><category term="Sell in May"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/18/sell-in-may-and-go-away.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/18/sell-in-may-and-go-away.html"/><author><name>Angela Palacios, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-18T12:00:25Z</published><updated>2012-05-18T12:00:25Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120518a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337136890687" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:angela.palacios@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120518b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337136933603" alt="" /></a></span></span>Along with the warm weather, spring always brings about the old debate of whether it is a good idea to, &ldquo;Sell in May and go away.&rdquo;&nbsp; Markets tend to have their stronger performance between October and May, which has certainly held true in the past year.&nbsp;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img style="width: 550px;" src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120518c.png?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337271858886" alt="" /></span></span></p>
<p>There are many theories as to why this could be true: &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>Investors tend to fund their IRA accounts either early or later in the year</li>
<li>Lower summer productivity for business</li>
<li>And the most obvious, people prefer to be outside rather than inside investing their money <br />(especially in Michigan).</li>
</ul>
<p>However, this year could be different. If you look at monthly returns in Election years (which like it or not we are in the middle of) the above picture is contradicted.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img style="width: 550px;" src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120518d.png?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337271869166" alt="" /></span></span></p>
<p>Beware of strategies involved in short-term timing of the markets.&nbsp; Many investors end up hurting themselves by trying to time their investments in and out of the market.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Source:&nbsp; </em>The Big Picture&nbsp; http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Dealing with Death: A Financial Guide</title><category term="Dealing with Death"/><category term="Estate Planning"/><category term="Financial Affairs checklist"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/16/dealing-with-death-a-financial-guide.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/16/dealing-with-death-a-financial-guide.html"/><author><name>Sandra D. Adams, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-16T12:01:39Z</published><updated>2012-05-16T12:01:39Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120516a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337136778731" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:sandra.adams@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120516b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1337136830940" alt="" /></a></span></span>Emotionally and psychologically, handling the loss of a significant relationship is one of life&rsquo;s most difficult tasks. But it&rsquo;s the additional stress of handling legal and financial affairs that can feel like enough to put you over the edge.</p>
<p>There are a handful of items that need to be handled immediately.&nbsp; Most decisions can, and should, be left for a later date when grief has been handled and clearer heads can prevail.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Here are the top 5 things you can&rsquo;t put off:</span></strong></p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Look for instructions that the deceased may have left regarding preferences for funeral and burial arrangements.</strong>&nbsp; This may be part of a larger document called a <a href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/resources/record_system.pdf" target="_blank">Personal Financial Record Keeping System and Letter of Last Instruction</a>, a document that provides important information about professional advisors, documents and accounts.</li>
<li><strong>Locate important legal documents, including the will and trust, if one exists.</strong>&nbsp; This will give guidance regarding who has been named to handle the financial affairs of your loved one and how funds can be accessed to pay for funeral and other costs.&nbsp; Other important documents may include prepaid funeral plans, safety deposit box information, and marriage, birth and other identification like driver&rsquo;s licenses.</li>
<li><strong>Contact the Deceased&rsquo;s financial advisor.</strong>&nbsp; The financial advisor will likely have copies of any/all legal documents, as well as a complete list of all financial assets and insurances.&nbsp; The financial advisor will be instrumental in helping to settle the estate and will be invaluable in helping to make important financial decisions later.</li>
<li><strong>Get Multiple Copies of the Certified Death Certificate.</strong>&nbsp; These documents will be important in settling all of the financial affairs of your loved one, and can be more difficult to obtain later.</li>
<li><strong>Notify Income Providers.</strong>&nbsp; This includes Social Security, employers paying pensions, etc.&nbsp; Stopping income payments immediately prevents the need to repay&nbsp;them later.</li>
</ol>
<p>It is most important to deal with your grief and to give yourself and your family time to honor your loved one.&nbsp; Many of the rest of the financial decisions and affairs can be handled when the time is right.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Contact your financial advisor for additional guidance.</p>
<p><em>Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.</em></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Your Legacy in a Letter</title><category term="Estate Planning"/><category term="Legacy Letter"/><category term="Legacy Planning"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/14/your-legacy-in-a-letter.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/14/your-legacy-in-a-letter.html"/><author><name>Laurie D. Renchik, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-14T12:00:23Z</published><updated>2012-05-14T12:00:23Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120514a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336681757073" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:laurie.renchik@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120514b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336681806601" alt="" /></a></span></span>In April, to celebrate his 79<sup>th</sup> birthday, my father had a special gift up his sleeve for our family.&nbsp; It started as an idea and, over a period of two years, with pen to paper dad wrote his story.&nbsp; It was a labor of love for him and came as complete surprise to us. &ldquo;This story must begin with a little background information,&rdquo; is the first sentence of a truly remarkable gift of personal memories and milestones, accomplishments and wisdom.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Times and things change, however, writing letters to share wisdom, preserve tradition, record family history, explain and inspire is not a new concept.&nbsp; In fact, letters like the one from my father are most commonly known today as ethical wills or legacy letters. &nbsp;Until I received a legacy letter, I could only imagine the impact and value a gift like this carries.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Estate planning documents like wills, trusts, and beneficiary designations are legal documents which typically are used to control the distribution, management and availability of assets from one generation to the next.&nbsp; Legacy letters are not legal documents.&nbsp; They pass on personal values and the nuances of your story.</p>
<p>There are no hard and fast &ldquo;rules&rdquo; for writing legacy letters. The contents and form of your letter are entirely up to you. You can tell your kids what you hope they&rsquo;ll accomplish, tell stories about your grandfather, or relive the time you made a key tackle on the one-yard line to preserve a win for your high school football team.&nbsp; Embellishment is allowed!</p>
<h2>Here are some ideas to help you get started:</h2>
<ul>
<li>Decide who you are writing to . . . .</li>
<li>Speak from your heart in your unique voice&nbsp; . . . .</li>
<li>Life has taught me . . . . </li>
<li>Some of my special memories are . . . . </li>
<li>I believe . . . .</li>
<li>Defining moments&nbsp; . . . .</li>
</ul>
<p>The beauty of the written word is that it can be handed down for generations to come.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t hesitate &ndash; get started today.&nbsp; Legacy letters are the perfect gift for any occasion!</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>The EuroCrisis</title><category term="Austerity"/><category term="EuroCrisis"/><category term="European Financial Crisis"/><category term="Investment Planning"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/11/the-eurocrisis.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/11/the-eurocrisis.html"/><author><name>Melissa Joy, CFS®</name></author><published>2012-05-11T12:00:52Z</published><updated>2012-05-11T12:00:52Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120511a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336679254967" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="melissa.joy@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120511b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336679292709" alt="" /></a></span></span>The European Financial Crisis is far from over and continues to weigh on the minds of investors. Markets received a reprieve from the European debt crisis early this year as Greece submitted to an "orderly" default. Regardless, Europe's issues are numerous. Here, we help translate four reasons the European debt crisis will continue to percolate in the coming months and even years:&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>1. Debt Rollovers:</strong> Those who have been following the European situation recognize that the fundamental problem, which seems impossible to solve is how to finance operations, or better yet, pay-off debt. With recessions imperiling debt hot spots, the opportunities to spruce up their balance sheet seem fleeting. As debt comes due, it must be refinanced.</p>
<p>Interested observers will note that the refinance and debt rollover calendar of countries like Spain and Italy will correlate highly to times of higher perceived threats to economic stability in the Eurozone. The success of each bond auction is closely watched for signs of deterioration or renewed crisis.</p>
<h3>2012: A Big Year for EU Debt Rollovers</h3>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/20120511c.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336680790805" alt="" /></p>
<p><strong>2. Austerity &amp; Its Side Effects:</strong> The prescription for much of the Euro issues has been "spend less". Certainly spending money poorer countries do not have will not solve the problem today, but austerity (forced spending cuts) comes with its own side effects. As countries make significant cuts in spending, unemployment can increase and the wings of potential growth can be clipped. This becomes a circular process.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120511d.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336680340103" alt="" /></p>
<p><strong>3. Credit Default Swaps:</strong> The advent of derivatives called "Credit Default Swaps" in the 1990s resulted in the "opportunity" for banks and investors to insure against risk of failing companies or countries. Today, European banks and, indeed, financial institutions around the world are riddled with CDS exposure to limping countries like Portugal and Spain and banks in these countries which hold much of the same troubled debt. These derivatives can have a multiplier effect in the world's financial system making a bad situation worse.&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>4. Politics:</strong> When the going gets tough, elected officials have a tough time holding office. We've already seen changes in government in Italy and Greece. France has replaced Sarkozy as president, making a clear statement about the demand for change there. It is equally as important to recognize the political dynamics in debt-ridden European countries like the PIIGS (Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain), but also to watch the currents in the healthy ballasts to the Eurozone such as Germany and France.</p>
<p>Market volatility throughout the world has been reduced in part by actions and statements from Angela Merkel and the ECB indicating strong commitment to continuing to address Eurozone issues. With potential change or weakening of political will comes uncertainty and this can damage potential for normalcy.</p>
<p><strong>So what's an investor to do? </strong>We believe the EuroCrisis will continue to be a drag on world economic growth. That said, markets are often self-correcting systems. Overall economic concerns can lead to opportunities in stocks that become undervalued. As Europe limps, Asia and the US may pick up the slack and be the recipient of relative competitive advantages.</p>
<p>If you have a long-term time horizon, waiting for an "all-clear sign" or a sunny day is often a fool's errand. Consistent execution of a well-defined investment process coupled with a diversified portfolio is our EuroCrisis prescription. In plain English, you must weather the storm.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Diversification does not ensure profit or protect from loss in declining markets.&nbsp; The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material.&nbsp; Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation.&nbsp; Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.&nbsp; International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial and accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability.</em></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Retirement Headwinds</title><category term="Behavioral Finance"/><category term="Investment Planning"/><category term="Retirement"/><category term="Retirement Headwinds"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/10/retirement-headwinds.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/10/retirement-headwinds.html"/><author><name>Matthew E. Chope, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-10T12:00:20Z</published><updated>2012-05-10T12:00:20Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120510a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336617877719" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:matthew.chope@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120510b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336617975942" alt="" /></a></span></span>Do you ever dream of going to work, not because you have to, but because you want&nbsp;</span><span>to? That&rsquo;s the number one goal of most Americans over 40. But most financial&nbsp;</span><span>gurus say that some of the headwinds facing the decision to retire are as daunting as ever.</span></p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Consider these Retirement Headwinds:</span></span></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><span><strong>Low portfolio return expectations</strong></span> 
<ul>
<li><span><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Lower bond returns:</span></span></span><span><span>&nbsp;Over time, bonds generally provide long-term returns similar to the coupon percentage they make (i.e. if the coupon of a bond is 5% and held to maturity, you will receive 5% annually until maturity if there is no default).&nbsp; Interest rates on the 10 year treasury recently went below 1.7%.&nbsp; This is the lowest yield on the 10 year Treasury in over 50 years.&nbsp; Since most bond yields are positively correlated with the 10 year treasury, the argument could be made that all yields are lower than their historical average. &nbsp;According to the Wall Street Journal, rates on the 10 year Treasury touched the lowest yields in modern history.</span></span></li>
<li><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Lower than average stock returns:</span></span><span>&nbsp;Historically the stock market (S&amp;P 500) has traded at an average Price to Earnings ratio of 15, but has ranged between 7 and the low 30&rsquo;s&nbsp; (Price to Earnings, or P/E is the ratio of a company&rsquo;s current share price compared to its per-share earnings)&nbsp; .&nbsp; Today the P/E is around 12.<a href="#_edn1"><span>[i]</span></a> &nbsp;If the P/E is contracting (i.e. when the P/E shrinks), the price investors are willing to pay for the combined earnings of the companies trading in the market declines.&nbsp; This usually results in a decline in the value of the stock market.&nbsp; This is happening for a few reasons.&nbsp; One economic study points to the Baby Boomers.&nbsp; Baby Boomers are entering the stage of life when they generally need to be more conservative.&nbsp; They may feel that it is no longer suitable to invest in the stock market.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; This pool of money that has been added to over the last 30 years now needs to be used.&nbsp; The largest segment of our population with a sizable amount of investment resources is likely being more cautious and, thus, selling more equities than they are purchasing.&nbsp; You can read the full FRBSF economic letter <a href="http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2011/el2011-26.pdf" target="_blank">here</a>.&nbsp;</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span><span><strong>Volatility:</strong></span><span>&nbsp;Markets may continue to move erratically, which tends to cause poor behavioral finance decisions (basically buying high and selling low). This is not new or necessarily worse than before, but still a major challenge for inexperienced investors and advisors.<br /></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><strong>Inflation:</strong></span><span>&nbsp;Higher inflation may be coming in many different ways.</span><br /></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><strong>High government debt:</strong></span></span></span><span><span><span>&nbsp;As a portion of GDP, government debts can kindle higher prices.</span></span></span> 
<ul>
<li><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Currency devaluation:</span></span><span>&nbsp;Low dollar value can cause resources to cost more.&nbsp; For example, higher oil prices are likely the result of oil sales being denominated in U.S. dollars.<br /></span></li>
<li><span><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Health care costs:</span></span><span>&nbsp;People are living longer due to advancements in medical and biomedical technology</span></span><span>. Many don't realize the financial burden a few extra years will be for this generation, but it's expensive to be on those meds and have that 2nd hip replacement.</span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span>Increased tax rates</span></span><span> &ndash; The debt will need to be paid by someone. You can see some of the new Pension taxes that where just pushed onto retirees in the state of Michigan last year. The extra 4.35% Pension tax adds up year after year. There are more tax hikes coming at the federal level next year, too.</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span><span><strong>Real median personal income:</strong></span><span>&nbsp;Adjusted for inflation 2010 dollars (as shown by Wikipedia using census data) are flat after inflation over the last 20 years - so it&rsquo;s been difficult for the average American to save more without changing their lifestyle.</span></span></li>
</ul>
<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120510c.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336615914422" alt="" /></span></span></p>
<p><span>With all these headwinds, surely there are some tailwinds working in our favor?&nbsp;</span><span>Well, even though I&rsquo;m a &ldquo;glass half full&rdquo; kind of guy, I just don&rsquo;t see any. So that&nbsp;</span><span>means investors need to make adjustments to compensate for the headwinds.&nbsp;</span><span>Coming up in my next blog, I&rsquo;ll explain some ways to do that.</span></p>
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<p><span><em><span>Bond prices and yields are subject to change based upon market conditions and availability. If bonds are sold prior to maturity, you may receive more or less than your initial investment. Holding bonds to term allows redemption at par value. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. The opinions expressed in the FRBSF Economic Letter are those of the authors and </span>not necessarily those of Raymond James. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</em></span></p>
<p><span><em>&nbsp;</em></span>[1] Yahoo! Finance</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>How Will Health Care Costs Effect Your Retirement?</title><category term="Health Care Costs"/><category term="Retirement"/><category term="Retirement Expenses"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/7/how-will-health-care-costs-effect-your-retirement.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/7/how-will-health-care-costs-effect-your-retirement.html"/><author><name>Julie E. Hall, CFP®</name></author><published>2012-05-07T12:00:48Z</published><updated>2012-05-07T12:00:48Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120507a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336063384006" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:julie.hall@centerfinplan.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120507b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336063428993" alt="" /></a></span></span>When sitting down with your financial planner, envisioning your ideal retirement, health care costs may be one of the greatest wildcards.&nbsp; Health care costs are predicted to grow more than 6% annually in years to come.&nbsp; According to Investment News, a 65-year-old couple that retired last year can expect to spend an average of $230,000 on health care services not covered by Medicare, assuming an average life expectancy.&nbsp; The following are important considerations when it comes to planning for out-of-pocket medical expenses in retirement:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Early Retirement Gap: </strong>(between retirement and age 65 when you are eligible for Medicare) &ndash; If you want to retire any time before you qualify for Medicare, you may be responsible for footing your health insurance bill during this gap, assuming you do not have access to retiree health care benefits from your employer.&nbsp;&nbsp; According to Alicia Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, &ldquo;In your early 60&rsquo;s you can expect at a minimum for premiums of at least $500 per month with a $2,000 to $5,000 annual deductible (in today&rsquo;s dollars)&rdquo;.</li>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120507c.gif?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336061987279" alt="" /></p>
<li><strong>Planning for out-of-pocket expenses not covered by Medicare: </strong>Many retirees think that once Medicare kicks in this may cover all of their medical expenses and <em>this is not the case</em>.&nbsp; On average, a couple can expect to pay $7,600 each year for out-of-pocket medical expenses, assuming no chronic conditions exist.&nbsp; The following is a chart breaking down the expenses for Part A and B for Medicare.&nbsp; It is important to note that Part D (prescription drug coverage) and a Medigap plan would have additional expenses.&nbsp;</li>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120507d.gif?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336062125909" alt="" /></p>
<li><strong>Long Term Care Event: </strong>In addition to the health care costs discussed above, long term care expenses need to be considered as well.&nbsp; According to the 2007 data from the Department of Health and Human Services, 70% of Americans over 65 will need some form of long-term care during their lifetime.&nbsp;&nbsp; Nursing home care is not cheap.&nbsp; Nursing home care can cost on average $75,000 per year, assuming a stay of 3 years that is $225,000!&nbsp; Protecting yourself with long term care insurance, whether it is traditional long term care or a hybrid-type policy, can make all the difference.&nbsp; My grandfather left behind excellent health coverage for my now 92 year old grandmother from his service with the Wayne County Organized Crime Task Force, but now my grandmother needs daily 12 hour care. Those costs, which she now pays out-of-pocket, really do add up.</li>
</ol>
<p>Most of us do not want to have to plan for when we get sick, but it is imperative that we do.&nbsp; If specific health care planning is addressed within your retirement plan, you can take a lot of the guesswork out of it and make sure you are really ready for health care costs in retirement.</p>
<hr />
<p><span style="font-size: 90%;">*Part B Medicare premiums are linked to income &ndash; the more you make the more you pay.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 90%;">Sources: Medicare.gov, Investment News, March 26, 2012 (Andrew Osterland)</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 90%;">The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.&nbsp; Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.&nbsp; Links are provided for information purposes only.&nbsp; Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors.&nbsp; Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website&rsquo;s users and or members.</span></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Why is Ford Motor Company Offering to Pay-Off 90,000 Retirees?</title><category term="Ford Lump Sum Pension Offer"/><category term="Retirement"/><id>http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/4/why-is-ford-motor-company-offering-to-pay-off-90000-retirees.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.centerfinplan.com/money-centered/2012/5/4/why-is-ford-motor-company-offering-to-pay-off-90000-retirees.html"/><author><name>Timothy W. Wyman, CFP®, JD</name></author><published>2012-05-04T12:00:45Z</published><updated>2012-05-04T12:00:45Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span class="full-image-block ssNonEditable"><span><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120504a.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336056738385" alt="" />&nbsp;<a href="mailto:timothy.wyman@gmail.com"><img src="http://www.centerfinplan.com/storage/post-images/20120504b.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1336056778630" alt="" /></a></span></span>On April 27, 2012, Ford Motor Company announced via an internal communication a voluntary lump sum buy-out<strong> offer for 90,000 retirees and surviving beneficiaries.&nbsp; </strong>&nbsp;Essentially, Ford wants to pay off or pay out as many retirees as possible.&nbsp; So why of the sudden generosity?&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; There are two primary reasons:</p>
<ol>
<p><strong>1. To get retirees off the books.</strong> Paying lump sums will get the pension liability off of their company balance sheet &ndash; which according to Bob Shanks, Ford executive vice president and chief financial officer, will "improve the underlying strength of our balance sheet&rdquo;. And,</p>
<p><strong>2. The math looks better in 2012.</strong> The Pension Protection Act of 2006 (&ldquo;PPA&rdquo;), fully in effect in 2012, allows companies to use the higher yielding corporate bond rate versus the lower Treasury rate when calculating lump sum payments; making the cost of a lump sum lower to employers such as Ford.</p>
</ol>
<p>Point 2 forces us to further consider how lump sum payments are calculated (for all employers &ndash; not just Ford Motor) and its impact on our decision making process.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<h2>How the Math Affects the Company and Retirees</h2>
<p>First let me apologize to all of the actuaries (i.e. number crunchers with serious calculators) for grossly underestimating the complexity of the calculation.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Calculating a lump sum takes into account factors such as your specific income, years of service, age, and survivor&rsquo;s age, if any.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; In addition, a &ldquo;discount&rdquo; rate is used in determining how much all of the monthly payments (present value) would equal if paid in a single lump sum today.&nbsp;&nbsp; Why is the discount rate important?</p>
<ol>
<p><strong>1. The higher the discount rate, the smaller the lump sum.</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. The lower the discount rate, the greater the lump sum.</strong></p>
</ol>
<p>On a relative basis, with general interest rates near historical lows, lump sum payments should be higher than say 10 years ago.&nbsp; However, the change in the discount rate via the PPA significantly reduces an employer&rsquo;s lump sum payment obligations &ndash; perhaps by as much as 30%. So while Ford has had a desire to offer this type of payout in the past &ndash; waiting until 2012 provided a lower cost.</p>
<p>So, let&rsquo;s agree for the moment that this plan is good for Ford&rsquo;s balance sheet. However, there is a far more important issue: <strong>Is a lump sum good for your finances?</strong> Are you better off receiving a one-time lump sum payment rather than guaranteed lifetime monthly payments (guarantees based on For Motor&rsquo;s ability to continue payments)? What&rsquo;s good for the company&hellip;.may or may not be good for you. (I don&rsquo;t say this lightly &ndash; growing up in Dearborn I witnessed firsthand Ford&rsquo;s exemplary community stewardship). I do however suggest taking a page out of Fords book &ndash; <strong>run the numbers to see what is most appropriate for you.</strong></p>
<h2>Is it good for your finances?</h2>
<p>So how much is at stake? Plenty. For example, a 60 year old male entitled to a $2,000/monthly pension might be offered a lump sum close to $600,000 depending upon the actual discount rate used (this is a hypothetical only assuming a single life payment and 3.5% discount rate). Depending upon your unique circumstances this might be a &ldquo;good deal&rdquo; &ndash; but it might not.</p>
<p>On one side, if you are someone with a long life expectancy and very risk averse you should consider declining the lump sum and sticking with the monthly benefit.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; On the other hand, if you are single and not in good health, taking the lump sum might be a better option. As you might expect, most folks will fall somewhere in between these two extremes.</p>
<p>At the risk of stating the obvious, this is a complex and important decision, and you are encouraged to consult with a financial planner and/or tax advisor. Talking with an experienced advisor about your personal situation can help lead to an appropriate decision focused on <strong>your</strong> balance sheet.</p>
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<p><em>The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.&nbsp; Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc., and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.</em></p>]]></content></entry></feed>
