Inflation Hedges Explored

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth, CFA®

Our Director of Investments, Angela Palacios, recently wrote about the factors influencing current inflation rates. She shared a helpful chart from JPMorgan and summarized, “you may be surprised to see the strong average performance from varying asset classes in this scenario. Inflation that is reasonable and expected can be a very positive scenario for many asset classes.”

As the debate continues over whether or not inflation is “transitory,” some investors are thinking about how to protect their portfolios from rising inflation.

Most bonds, aside from TIPS, are generally expected to perform poorly if inflation rises. This should make sense as the fixed income stream from a bond investment will deteriorate if inflation rises. To protect against inflation, one might conclude that removing bonds from a portfolio makes sense, but not so fast. Bonds are typically in a diversified portfolio to protect from the more common (and devastating) risk – a stock market decline. Be sure to know how your portfolio’s risk exposure would shift before considering a move away from bonds.

Vanguard recently released some research on the topic of inflation hedging and concluded that commodities were the best asset class to protect from unexpected inflation. While commodities are generally accepted to be pretty good inflation hedges, one major risk of owning them has been on display for the past ten years. Their return stream can look significantly different than stocks’. Admittedly, this has been one of the best decades in history for U.S. stocks and one of the worst for commodities. To demonstrate just how “different” the returns can be, if you would’ve held one of the largest commodity ETFs over the past ten years, you would’ve underperformed the U.S. stock market by almost 400%.

Trailing 10-year performance of two ETFs that represent the U.S. stock market and the broad commodities market. SPY (green line) tracks the S&P 500, and DBC (blue line) tracks a basket of 14 commodities. Total return. Source: koyfin.com.

Some portfolio managers like Ray Dalio or First Eagle portfolio managers, Matthew McLennan and Kimball Brooker, have been long time proponents of gold as a hedge against inflation. Gold can be a powerful diversifier in a portfolio, but has also seen sustained periods of underperformance that may make it hard to hold over the long term. Here’s a similar chart of how a popular Gold ETF has performed over the past ten years compared to the red hot S&P 500.

Trailing 10-year performance of two ETFs that represent the U.S. stock market and the price of Gold. SPY (green line) tracks the S&P 500, and GLD (blue line) tracks the gold spot price. Total return. Source: koyfin.com.

You may even see articles claiming that bitcoin is the best inflation hedge to add to your portfolio. These opinion pieces make some compelling arguments, but it is important to remember that they are just opinion pieces; emphasis on opinion. We haven’t truly had an inflationary period since bitcoin became popular in the past decade, so there is no way of knowing if its performance has any correlation to U.S. inflation.

Above all else, before jumping to action on your portfolio, remember that inflation is quite hard to forecast. There are an infinite amount of moving parts and multiple ways to measure them. Professional forecasters don’t even agree on what it will look like in the next 12 months, let alone the next ten years or the remainder of your investment time horizon. One of the best ways to hedge against inflation is to talk to your financial advisor and understand how rising inflation might affect your financial plan. That is why we’re here.

Want to know what The Center thinks about inflation? Check out these resources: Inflation and Stock Returns and How Do I Prepare my Portfolio for Inflation.

Nicholas Boguth, CFA® is a Portfolio Administrator at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He performs investment research and assists with the management of client portfolios.

Opinions expressed are not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss. Treasury Inflation Protection Securities, or TIPS, adjust the invested principal base by the CPI-U at a semiannual rate. Rate of inflation is based on the CPI-U, which has a three-month lag. Bond prices and yields are subject to change based upon market conditions and availability. If bonds are sold prior to maturity, you may receive more or less than your initial investment. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and fixed income prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, fixed income prices fall and when interest rates fall, fixed income prices rise. Investing in commodities is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Their markets are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Gold is subject to the special risks associated with investing in precious metals, including but not limited to: price may be subject to wide fluctuation; the market is relatively limited; the sources are concentrated in countries that have the potential for instability; and the market is unregulated. Bitcoin issuers are not registered with the SEC, and the bitcoin marketplace is currently unregulated. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are a very speculative investment and involves a high degree of risk.

Center Participates in Annual Walk to End Alzheimer’s

Contributed by: Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

Center Team members recently participated in the Walk to End Alzheimer’s in Brighton. The walk, sponsored by the Alzheimer’s Association of Michigan, raised funds and awareness for dementia, a disease that has and continues to impact our clients, client’s families, and team member’s families. Alzheimer’s and other dementias impact those diagnosed and their families so significantly from a psychological, emotional, and financial standpoint that we make substantial efforts at The Center to provide extra information, resources, and support to clients who may be impacted. Helping to raise awareness and funds for research is just one of the things we do!

If a client or family member were to receive a dementia diagnosis, we have helpful resources and action steps available here:

How to Reduce the Risks of Dementia and Diminished Capacity to Your Retirement Plan

A Dementia Diagnosis and Your Financial Plan

The Center Supports “Swing Fore the Cure” Golf Outing

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth, CFA®

The Center was proud to sponsor the "Swing Fore the Cure" golf outing, a fantastic event involving raising money for a worthy cause and having a great time while doing it! The outing was organized by the family of the Center’s own, Nick Boguth, whose mother has been a significant fundraiser for the cause since becoming a breast cancer survivor 15 years ago.

Cancer is something that hits close to home for most of us as we all have colleagues, family, or friends who have been affected by the disease. The Center was happy to corral around this event, bring some of our Center energy to the golf course, and support the fundraising efforts that benefitted Ascension St. John Breast Cancer Center, Wigs 4 Kids, and Susan G. Komen Foundation.

Nicholas Boguth, CFA® is a Portfolio Administrator at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He performs investment research and assists with the management of client portfolios.

Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment & Wage Base for 2021

Contributed by: Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®

It has recently been announced that Social Security benefits for millions of Americans will increase by 5.9% beginning January 2022. This is the largest cost of living adjustment in 40 years! The increase is calculated based on data from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W, from October 1st, 2020 through September 30th, 2021. Inflation has been a point of concern and received a great deal of media attention this year, so this increase comes as welcome news for Social Security recipients who have received minimal or no benefit increase in recent years.

The Social Security taxable wage base will also increase in 2022 from $142,800 to $147,000. This means that employees will pay 6.2% of Social Security tax on the first $147,000 earned, which translates to $9,114 of Social Security tax. Employers match the employee amount with an equal contribution. The Medicare tax remains at 1.45% on all income, with an additional .9% surtax for individuals earning over $200,000 and married couples filing jointly who earn over $250,000.

For many, Social Security is one of the only forms of guaranteed fixed income that will rise over the course of retirement. However, the Senior Citizens League estimates that Social Security benefits have lost approximately 33% of their buying power since the year 2000. This is why, when working to run retirement spending and safety projections, we factor an erosion of Social Security’s purchasing power into our clients’ financial plans.

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

2021 Third Quarter Investment Commentary

Contributed by: Center Investment Department

Crisp Air, Cool Breeze, Fall Leaves. All the things that Autumn brings here in Michigan. As the third quarter comes to a close and we enter the last quarter of 2021, we find a cool breeze passing through markets as volatility picks up - as is often the case in September and October. A diversified benchmark portfolio consisting of 60% stocks (split between U.S.-S&P 500 and International-MSCI EAFE) and 40% bonds (Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index) is up just over 7% year-to-date as of September 30th, with the S&P 500 leading the way at +15.9%, international stocks (MSCI EAFE) at +8.35%, and U.S. Aggregate Bonds at -1.55%.

Check out this video to recap some of our thoughts this quarter and continue to read below for some more detailed insight!

Volatility has picked up as the recovery appears to be in a holding pattern. Investors worry about the delta strain and are concerned about a surge in additional strains that could come with the winter flu season. Stock markets don’t have a clear driver of upward returns right now, and we are currently in the middle of two of the most challenging months (September and October) of the year historically for markets. Until September, the S&P 500 hadn’t experienced a 5% decline (which usually occurs 2-4 times per year) since October 2020. The market broke this long streak in late September. Headlines from the government, worry about bonds rates increasing, Chinese real estate headlines, and inflation fears have caused a pause in the steady upside we all had grown quite comfortable to!

It’s important to remember markets frequently experience short-term pullbacks. The below chart shows intra-year stock market declines (red dot and number), as well as the market’s return for the full year (gray bar). This chart shows us that the market is capable of recovering from intra-year drops and still finishing the year in positive territory, which helps us remember to stay the course even when markets get choppy!

Fed Tapering – Will It Cause Volatility?

Google searches on tapering peaked in late August and again in late September surrounding the Federal Reserve (the Fed) meeting. The Fed has fully telegraphed their intention to make this move that, likely, isn’t starting until late this year. It’s important to remember that tapering isn’t tightening. The Fed is lessening the rate they are buying government bonds. Investors wonder, “Will interest rates spike when they stop buying so much?” The answer is maybe. However, there won’t be as much debt being issued next year without fiscal stimulus as has been in the past year and a half. So, current buyers other than the Fed should be able to absorb supply. Also, U.S. Treasury bonds are still paying much more than other government’s bonds that are similar in quality. If rates go up, they will likely be met with headwinds because pension funds and other governments will want that increased yield buying the bonds and thus forcing rates back down again.

Over the summer, the Fed started to unwind the secondary market corporate credit facility that was announced early on in the pandemic to support corporate bonds and fixed income exchange-traded funds. The Fed’s holdings peaked at $14.2 Billion as the move quickly restored stability in markets at the time – March 2020 - and no further action was needed. They are planning the sales in an orderly fashion as not to disrupt markets.

Washington D.C. – A Game of Political Chicken

There have been a lot of headlines toward the end of the third quarter from the government, including government shutdown possibility, reconciliation, infrastructure bill, debt limit increase, and tax increase plans. 

First, the temporary funding bill and debt limit caused short-term volatility as investors were nervous that politicians not seeing eye-to-eye would cause another government shutdown or worse - default on U.S. debt. Fortunately, the President signed a bill funding the government through December 3rd, just hours before the deadline. You may not realize how often we have stood at this precipice before, though. According to the Congressional Research Service and MFS, “There have been 21 government shutdowns in history when our nation’s lawmakers failed to agree on spending bills to fund government outlays for a fiscal year that begins annually on October 1st. The most recent shutdown, a 35-day stoppage that ended on 1/25/19, was the longest closure in history. 11 of the 21 shutdowns lasted three days or less.” Interestingly enough, there are many similarities between now and 2013 when the FED was rolling out their plan for tapering, debt ceiling debate, and government shutdown. While what happened in the past isn’t necessarily what is going to happen now, we believe it offers a helpful perspective. You can see that in 2013 there was an uptick in volatility and a short-term market retreat, but overall the markets continued to move higher through year-end.

Source: Raymond James Chief Investment Officer, Larry Adam

In September, we gained some clarity on the tax increase proposals to assist in paying for the infrastructure bill. Check out our blog on some of the details, as well as our upcoming webinar! Capital gains tax proposals can potentially disrupt markets in the near term, but the increase in those taxes would go into effect as of mid-September 2021 (retroactively). This is important because it prevents a rush of selling to harvest capital gains before an effective date.

China Headlines

Why has China and emerging markets lagged recently? China is the 2nd biggest economy in the world and the 2nd biggest equity market in the world. China represents 35% of the Emerging Market index, so when China lags, the entire asset class tends to lag too. Active management can be important in this area to navigate the complexities of these varying countries. China has shifted gears recently, choosing to focus on social stability (or “Common prosperity”) rather than pure growth as in the past. China’s Communist Party has turned its eye to the ultra-wealthy, politically outspoken citizens and technology usage.

Most alarmingly, however, has been Evergrande’s debt woes. Evergrande is one of China’s largest real estate developers with a massive amount of debt. They have been forced to sell off assets in order to meet debt repayments, which is having a ripple effect through their customers, suppliers, competitors, and employees. This is so impactful because one-third of China’s Gross Domestic Product is related to real estate. As you can see in the chart below, housing represents over three-quarters of financial assets in China versus a much lower percentage (less than one-third) here in the U.S.

Initially, there was fear of contagion spreading from the Chinese High Yield debt market to the U.S., but this hasn’t occurred.

We remain disciplined in the consistent and proactive execution of our investment process that is anchored in the fundamentals of asset allocation, rebalancing, and patience. From time to time, we may choose to express our forward-looking opinions of the state of stock and bond markets but always strive to do so without subjecting you to unnecessary risks. Even though we close this quarterly note similarly each time, please understand that we thank you for the trust you place in us to guide you through your investment journey!

We have more thoughts to share on investment current events coming soon. Stay tuned for our investment blogs about inflation hedges and Biden’s corporate tax rate proposal.

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be authorized by the company's board of directors. Special Purpose Acquisition Companies may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should be familiar with the unique characteristics, risks and return potential of SPACs, including the risk that the acquisition may not occur or that the customer's investment may decline in value even if the acquisition is completed. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee or a predictor of future results. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

Proactive Planning Moves for an Evolving Tax Environment

Contributed by: Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD

Contributed by: Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®

Just about every financial decision and transaction that we make has an income tax component or consequence. With federal marginal rates currently as high as 37%, state income tax rates as high as 13%, and additional surcharges for high-income earners, being efficient with income tax planning is paramount in accumulating or conserving wealth.  

Moreover, President Biden is planning the first major federal tax hike since 1993 that appears likely to be passed this year, at least in part. If passed, tax measures would likely take effect in 2022, with the potential for some measures to be applied retroactively even into 2021. 

At The Center, we have a long history and experience working with our clients and their tax preparers to drive down tax costs as much as possible. Our planning team may address the following for our clients’ benefit:

Marginal Tax Rate: The marginal tax rate is the tax rate paid on the next or last dollar of income. Current federal marginal rates go from 10% up to 37%. Your current, and expected future, marginal rate provides insight into decisions such as accelerating or delaying income as well as whether municipal bonds or taxable bonds are most efficient. Your marginal bracket also determines what long-term capital gains rate is applied. The current highest marginal bracket is 37% (and current proposed tax legislation could raise the upper rate to 39.6%).

Average or Effective Tax Rate: In addition to your marginal tax rate, the average rate helps us understand your overall tax picture. To determine your average rate, divide the total tax paid by your total income. For example, one might be in the 35% marginal tax bracket, but their average tax rate might be closer to 25%.

Itemized vs. Standard Deduction: Are you itemizing deductions, or does the standard deduction provide a greater benefit? With current limitations on itemized deductions, such as state & local income taxes and real estate taxes capped at $10k, many find that they no longer itemize deductions unless they “bunch.” For instance, bunching may involve grouping five years’ worth of charitable donations into one year. Many people do this by gifting to a vehicle like a Donor Advised Fund so the tax deduction may be recognized immediately, but the funds then get divvied out to charity more slowly over time. Essentially, bunching itemized deductions, such as charitable gifts, every other or few years typically provides the most efficient tax strategy.

Long Term Capital Gains: Under current law, long-term capital gains (securities held longer than 12 months) receive preferential tax rates vs. ordinary income tax rates. There are three brackets 0%, 15%, and 20%. Current proposed tax legislation could raise this rate to 25% for the highest income earners.

Carry Forward Losses: The goal of investing is to make money. One strategy to use when an individual investment loses value is to “harvest the loss.” Harvesting losses can be valuable as they offset capital gains dollar for dollar. If you have extra or additional losses, up to $3,000/year can also be used to offset ordinary income. Ideally, this harvesting of losses should be done on an ongoing basis rather than only at the end of a quarter or year.

Qualified Dividends: Qualified dividends are dividends taxed at a long-term capital gains rate instead of your ordinary income tax rate, which is generally higher. All things being equal, we would rather have dividend income that is considered qualified to achieve greater tax efficiency.  

Roth Conversion Opportunities: Sometimes paying tax today versus later is a tax-efficient strategy. If you feel that you will be in a higher bracket later, or even that your beneficiaries may be at a higher tax bracket, full or partial Roth conversions can be employed to recognize that income today at a lower rate. Roth money can be used to provide tax-free and RMD free retirement income. Having Roth dollars also provides opportunities to optimize your current marginal bracket as part of a comprehensive retirement income plan. 

IRMAA Surcharges: Our tax code contains provisions that may be described as “hidden taxes.” One such tax includes the Medicare income-related monthly adjustment amount (or IRMAA), which is an extra surcharge based on your total income (specifically Modified Adjusted Gross Income). Meaning, depending upon your income, you might pay a higher premium for Medicare (Part B and D). For example, in 2021, a joint couple pays $148.50/month when their income is less than $176k. Once you go a dollar over, the premium now becomes $220.20/month per person and is added to your Medicare premiums – a hidden tax. There are additional thresholds, and the current maximum premium for those with income over $750k is a total of $582/month each. Managing brackets by limiting or decreasing income, such as using Qualified Charitable Distributions from an IRA, can reduce your surcharge.

Net Investment Income (NII) Tax: Another so-called hidden tax applies to single taxpayers with MAGI above $200k and $250k for couples filing jointly. Investment income over these thresholds contains an additional 3.8% tax. So, while the stated maximum capital gains rate is 20%, the highest long-term capital gains rate is actually 23.8% with the surtax (before taking state taxes into account).

Phase-outs: At last count, there are over 50 tax credits that may be available to taxpayers. Unfortunately, they are subject to a variety of income phase-outs, so careful planning is required.

The Biden tax plan, if passed, contains additional income and estate tax provisions that we are closely monitoring including, but not limited to:

• New tax increases on households earning more than $400k, including upping the top tax rate to 39.6% and lowering the amount of income needed to reach that top bracket

• Increasing the top long-term capital gains rate from 20% to 25% 

• Restricting many tax and estate planning techniques, including backdoor Roth IRA conversions, the ability to convert pretax IRA dollars into Roth IRA dollars for high earners, and eliminating intentionally defective grantor trusts (a strategy used to move assets out of one’s taxable estate)

• While the Biden plan appears to exclude any “wealth tax” such as proposed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, there may be changes to estate tax provisions such as decreasing the Estate Exemption Equivalent from $11.77M per person to $5M

• Introducing and expanding additional child tax credits 

Lastly, we find that efficient tax planning considers not only your current year taxes, but a plan that considers several years or even several generations. Assuming an increase in individual (and corporate) tax rates, the stakes will be even higher and proper planning can help put more in your pocket.  

Stay tuned for an upcoming video message in November intended to keep you in the loop with proposed tax changes. Learn more about the American Families Tax Plan proposal HERE.

Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD, Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD, is the Managing Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Tim earned a place on Forbes’ Best-In-State Wealth Advisors List in Michigan¹ in 2021 for the fourth consecutive year. He was also named a 2020 Financial Times 400 Top Financial Advisor² for the third consecutive year.

Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and Director of Operations at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She works with clients and their families to achieve their financial planning goals and also leads the client service, marketing, finance, and human resources departments.

While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional. Unless certain criteria are met, Roth IRA owners must be 59½ or older and have held the IRA for five years before tax-free withdrawals are permitted. Additionally, each converted amount may be subject to its own five-year holding period. Converting a traditional IRA into a Roth IRA has tax implications. Investors should consult a tax advisor before deciding to do a conversion.

How to Reduce the Risks of Dementia and Diminished Capacity to Your Retirement Plan

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

Senility is what they used to call it and it only happened to the very elderly like our great grandparents.  Surely, not us. We are healthy, educated, and financially well off, so we don’t need to talk about senility or plan for it. THINK AGAIN!

Senility is now known as Alzheimer’s, a disease that accounts for 60-80% of dementia. The statistics are alarming! According to the Alzheimer’s Association, more than 1 in 9 people over age 65 have Alzheimer’s disease. The chances of an Alzheimer’s diagnosis doubles every five years after age 65 (beginning at approximately 5.3% at age 65 and going from there).   If the disease runs in your family, a head injury, hypertension, diabetes, stress, excess weight, depression, and many other conditions increase your risk of diagnosis.

Risks of Not Planning

I don’t need to tell you that losing your memory is a scary proposition. The fact that you could live for years (if you are otherwise healthy) without knowing who you are, where you are, who any of your loved ones are, and not recall your short nor most of your long-term past is frightening.  Even more disturbing is that you also forget how to care for yourself, and your body begins to forget how to function.  Family may be able to assist you at first, but as time goes on professional care is usually needed.  A few thousand per month for at-home caregivers is not out of the question.  As more care is required, the few thousand dollars per month can quickly become five thousand to ten or twelve thousand dollars a month, depending on the level of care needed and where you live. The impact on your financials, if you haven’t planned, can be detrimental.

In addition to the care risks, there are capacity risks.  Those who develop Alzheimer’s or related dementia go through a period (sometimes before their diagnosis or possibly early in their diagnosis) when their capacity is considered “diminished.”  They are not yet considered fully incapable of making their own decisions. In other words, the right to make decisions has not yet been taken from them, but their ability to make decisions is compromised.  In this stage of the game, we are generally watching for behavioral changes in clients:

• Missing Appointments

• Getting confused about instructions/having difficulty following instructions

• Making more frequent calls to the office to ask the same questions

• Trouble handling paperwork

• Difficulty recalling decisions or actions

• Changes to mood or personality

• Poor judgment

• Memory Loss (generally)

• Difficulty with basic financial concepts

Concerns that are more significant can be financial fraud and exploitation. Clients with diminished capacity are incredibly vulnerable to others who try to take advantage of their inability to understand what is or is not real. Unfortunately, 1 in 10 seniors over age 65 are victims of financial exploitation, according to the Government Accountability Office, with losses totaling over $3 billion annually. While most of this exploitation is at the hands of strangers, sometimes family, friends, and caregivers exploit the vulnerable.

Proactive Solutions

Now that I have completely frightened you about dementia and diminished capacity, let’s take a step back and look at what we can and should be doing to plan and protect your plan proactively against these risks.

From a personal health perspective, the Alzheimer’s Association suggests:

• Combined physical and mental exercise

• Continuous Learning

• Social Engagement

• Get good sleep

• Eat a healthy diet (Mediterranean Diet recommended)

From a financial planning perspective, it makes sense to put together a proactive aging strategy as part of your retirement planning to address the potential risks of dementia/Alzheimer’s/diminished capacity on your comprehensive financial plan.  What should this aging strategy address?

•  Legal Documents

• Care

• Finances

• Legacy

Dementia and diminished capacity are scary.  We don’t want to think about a time when we might not remember our names, remember our loved ones, or even recognize our reflections in the mirror. Dementia and diminished capacity can wreak havoc on our families and our financial security if we don’t plan. Take steps today to put together an aging strategy so that you and your loved ones are prepared. Preparation is the best defense!  If you or anyone you know need assistance with this topic, please let us know.  We are always happy to help!

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

Biden’s “American Families Tax Plan” Proposal and How It Could Affect You

Contributed by: Josh Bitel, CFP®

Ever since President Joe Biden has taken office, there has been much talk about how the tax landscape may change. On September 13th, Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee released their new tax proposals. While the outcome may differ from the proposals listed below, we always want to keep you informed on proposed changes. Highlights are summarized below.

 New Top Ordinary Income Tax and Capital Gains Rate

Perhaps the most talked about piece of the proposal is the return of the 39.6% income tax bracket. This rate was previously in place from 2013-2017 but reduced to 37% with the Tax Cuts And Jobs Act of 2017. However, this new proposal does not simply replace the 37% bracket with the 39.6%. Instead, it reduces the amount of income a taxpayer can have before being placed in that top bracket. Single taxpayers making over $400,000 or married couples making over $450,000 will be in the new top bracket under this proposal.

 Along with ordinary income tax brackets, top capital gains tax brackets may also change. The major difference between this change and the ordinary income tax change is that (if approved) this will go into effect immediately and impact all capital gains from that point forward. In contrast, the ordinary income tax brackets won’t change until 2022. See the chart below for proposed capital gains tax changes.

Proposed Capital Gains Tax Changes

Changes to Roth IRA Strategies

 This one may hurt more for advisors. If enacted, this part of the proposal prohibits converting after-tax dollars held in retirement accounts to Roth IRAs. In other words, the “backdoor Roth IRA” and the “Mega backdoor Roth IRA” would be left in the dust.

 Another proposed change would go a bit further. In 2032, Roth CONVERSIONS for high-income earners would be prohibited. Any single person earning over $400,000, or married couples earning over $450,000, would be impacted by this rule.

These are just a few of the many changes proposed by Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee. Of course, the actual bill may look drastically different than the proposals listed in this blog. Planners here at The Center will be sure to stay on top of any changes and keep you informed as they come out.

Josh Bitel, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He conducts financial planning analysis for clients and has a special interest in retirement income analysis.

Finding Meaningful Ways to Spend When Your Financial Plan Allows

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

Several months ago, I wrote about clients who had developed such great savings habits to retire that they were shocked they could spend more in retirement than they had been spending in pre-retirement (“Can You Change Your Spending Habits in Retirement”). Of course, by the time this happens, most clients realize that it is very difficult, if not impossible, to change their spending habits or their lifestyle in general. Ultimately, they have trouble spending the money they have available to them.

I continue to have discussions in financial planning reviews with these clients when their retirement spending continues to be well below what is possible for their long-term financial success. Often this generates meaningful conversations regarding what might be possible with the excess funds, for the clients to make their lives more enjoyable and valuable, and for their families and communities.

Here are just some of the ideas that have come out of these discussions:

• Annual gifting to children — in cash or specifically for the individual needs for the children and/or their families.

• Assisting with grandchildren’s education.

• Taking a memorable trip(s) that the client has always dreamed of taking.

• Creating or contributing to a scholarship program at the client’s former school/university.

• Making a significant donation to a charity that has special meaning to the client.

• Investing in a hobby that has significant meaning/value to the client.

• Helping a family member that is struggling financially.

While spending more than what is necessary is still not easy for most of these clients, they begin to find that it makes more sense and is easier to do when the spending is meaningful for them, their families, or their community. And with the help of a financial advisor along the way to make sure that the spending is still in line with their plan, even if they do those things that are meaningful (and sometimes fun), they can move forward with confidence and find new ways to be creative with their spending.

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

Nick Boguth Achieves CFA Designation

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®

This summer, Nick completed his journey to obtain his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®) designation.  Nick started as an intern with the Center in May 2014, eventually joining us full time after graduating from the University of Michigan (Go Blue!) with a degree in Economics and Statistics.  Almost immediately after starting full-time, he began the long road to achieving his CFA® designation over five years ago.

Nicholas Boguth, newly minted Chartered Financial Analyst

What is the CFA® Designation?

The curriculum builds a strong educational foundation of advanced investment analysis and real-world portfolio management skills.  Upon completion, the average designation holder has spent roughly 1,000 hours studying! 

There are three levels that Nick will have to pass and several other hurdles before he can utilize the designation:

• CFA level 1 – tests your basic knowledge and comprehension focused on investment tools and ethics.

• CFA level 2 – tests more complex analysis along with a focus on valuing assets

• CFA level 3 – requires a synthesis of all the concepts and analytical methods in various applications for effective portfolio management and wealth planning.

Along with passing the courses and the exams, Nick must have four years of work experience in investment decision-making, which he has earned with his role as Portfolio Administrator here at the Center.  He must also agree to follow a rigorous Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct and become a member of the CFA Institute. 

Is this Easy?

While Nick may have made it seem easy to the rest of us, it is far from easy.  It is a popular designation to seek out.  Each year nearly 200,000 people from all over the world register to take one of the exams offered only once per year!  The pass rate for each level is usually only around 40%.

As with everything else, the examinations were set back due to COVID.  Nick persevered through COVID delays, planning a wedding, newborn twins, and two home purchases and renovations. When I asked Nick his thoughts on the program, he said:

The entire process was incredibly rewarding. I learned more than I ever thought I would over the past few years. It was a challenging road to pass the final level, and I was absolutely thrilled to complete it, but it feels like just the beginning. I’m looking forward to putting this knowledge to good use here at The Center in a constant effort to provide clients with the best investment experience possible.

Nick’s education and passion for research already adds more depth to The Center’s Investment Department and Committee in helping us shape portfolios for clients!  Look for many more great things to come from Nick!  Way to go, Nick!

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.