What's going on with China's Currency?

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth

The biggest Yuan devaluation in over 20 years shook up the markets late last year and has been a recent source of uncertainty for investors. What exactly happened? And why would China want to devalue their currency?

Why peg one currency to another?

Well, many developing countries fix the exchange value of their currencies to one of a more stable economy’s in order to stabilize their currency exchange rate fluctuations and better control domestic inflation. The U.S. Dollar is a preferred target for other countries because it has a highly liquid government bond market and a relatively stable economy. In fact, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and Egypt, among others are all currently pegged to the U.S. Dollar.  

Why would China discontinue its Yuan peg to the U.S. Dollar?

The Yuan has been tied to the U.S. Dollar since 1994, but China has had a deep economic slowdown while the US economy has been going through an expansion in recent years. Monetary authorities typically take opposite actions in these two different phases of a business cycle. As we have seen, the Fed has started to raise interest rates, which usually leads to a currency appreciating, and stimulates the economy less. The People’s Bank of China wants to stimulate the economy more during their contraction, so staying tied to the U.S. Dollar would be contradictory. If the dollar rose while the Yuan was pegged to it, then the Yuan would rise too. 

A more expensive Yuan puts pressure on exporters that are a large part of China’s GDP. During China’s economic slowdown, their exports have been hurt. By devaluing their currency and allowing it to diverge from the U.S. Dollar, China is saying that it wants to focus effort on supporting exporters because a cheaper Yuan makes Chinese exports more attractive to foreign countries. This is a stimulus meant to boost economic growth.

What could go wrong?

While a cheaper currency is good for exporters and can help boost domestic economic growth, there is downside as well. A major risk of devaluing a currency is capital outflow. If the value of a currency drops, investors may move themselves or their money out of the country and into another that has a stronger currency.

China is not completely abandoning a peg though. Rather than tying their currency to the U.S. Dollar alone, they are tying it to a basket of currencies. This will allow it to stray from the U.S. Dollar, but will not allow the exchange rate to float independently and risk a larger amount of currency volatility.

Nicholas Boguth is an Investment Research Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not acomplete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Nicholas Boguth and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.

Economic and Investment Update for 2016

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®

In early February, Melissa Joy, CFP®, Partner and Director of Wealth Management at The Center, was joined by David Lebowitz, Vice President and Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan, to discuss timely economic and market updates.

David kicked off the presentation by answering 3 questions:

1. Where are we in the (current economic) cycle?

2. What should we watch out for?

3. Where are the opportunities?

J.P. Morgan built a strong case for the U.S. Economy sitting at positive GDP growth (Gross Domestic Product), the improving job market, as well as, corporate profits, and subdued inflation for the foreseeable future.

David also pointed out items to watch out for, such as low oil having a positive effect on consumer’s wallets, the continued higher volatility we are currently experiencing is more in line with history rather than the low volatility environment we have become accustomed to, and being careful of investment biases sneaking into your portfolio causing undue risk.

Opportunities are still out there for investment growth but David stressed that the ride is as important as the destination. A balanced portfolio is like a sword and a shield for investors. Your sword, or equities, has the potential to give you the long term growth needed to help reach goals but your shield, or fixed income can help give you the defense to make your investment journey more comfortable.

Melissa continued with several history lessons stressing the importance of patience and that it often pays off when investing. She discussed top headlines in the news such as the elections and interest rate hikes and how these items will affect investors over the coming year.

Below is a link to the presentation slides referenced throughout that emphasize the key points Melissa and David discussed. As well, there is the recording of the webinar that Melissa and David held, that has further information and discussion.

• Watch the full webinar presentation below

• February 2016 Webinar slides

• J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets is a widely popular presentation on the state of the economy and various markets.  By clicking on the link you will be taken to the guide in it’s entirety.

Angela Palacios, CFP® is the Portfolio Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Angela specializes in Investment and Macro economic research. She is a frequent contributor to Money Centered as well as investment updates at The Center.

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Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

Fourth Quarter Investment Commentary

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®

2016 kicks off with much of the same challenges as have plagued us for the second half of 2015.  The S&P 500 was up for the seventh straight year but that is where the excitement ended.  Broad markets delivered lackluster or negative returns.  The S&P 500 needed all of its dividends to get to a positive 1.38% return for 2015 while the Russell 2000 and MSCI EAFE representing small company stocks and international markets were down 4.42% and .82% respectively.

Volatility really picked up in the third quarter with a large drawdown while in the fourth quarter made up some ground.  We expect volatility to continue into the New Year as the year end brought no significant changes to our outlook.

Liftoff from Zero

The Federal Reserve Board (FED) continues to ease their foot slowly off the accelerator after years of easy money.  In December, The FED increased short term rates for the first time in nearly a decade.  This move was highly anticipated and thus bonds did not have a large knee-jerk negative reaction.  Bond markets had already priced in the rate move before it happened.

Looking forward, The FED is forecasting 4, quarter point rate increases for a total of a 1% rate increase in 2016.  The markets, as measured by interest rate futures, disagree as they are forecasting only .5% increase this year.  If The FED actually increases rates by 1% the bond market will adjust prices to reflect this leading to slight negative pressures on the prices of bonds.  Interest rates on bank accounts will lag behind the increases and likely only move upward slightly and slowly while mortgage rates should also increase slowly.

A bright spot in the bond market

The outlook for municipal bonds continues to be positive.  Puerto Rico announced a default on January 1 of $37 Million in debt but this was widely anticipated and didn’t spread into other markets.  Many municipalities continue to improve balance sheets with increased tax collection and the market as a whole seems to be on solid footing.

Bond Market Illiquidity

The negative performance in energy prices has led to increasing spreads between high yield bonds and investment grade fixed income.  When this occurs, prices on high yield bonds go down and they become harder to sell.  Over the past several years, investors have reached for yield in this category not understanding the risks involved.  This highlights the importance of understanding exactly what exposure you are taking on when investing in fixed income.

View on Emerging markets

Emerging market challenges continue into 2016.  Manufacturing in China continues to slow as well as their Gross Domestic Product growth, GDP, but the government is intervening in their stock market trying to prove they can provide a floor to asset prices. China’s slowdown has had a negative impact on commodity prices along with the glut in the oil market causing oil prices to be at their lowest levels since early 2009. 

These pressures have been brutal to emerging market country currencies that depend on exporting commodities.  In order for there to be a turnaround in this space we would need to see a change in investor sentiment, stronger economic growth, and a weakening of the U.S. dollar which we don’t see as likely in the near term.

The Economy

Locally our economy continues its slow grind in the positive direction.  Consumer spending remains strong with low gas prices and strong job growth increasing households’ purchasing power.  Housing is a bright spot and as rates increase borrowing terms may be relaxed a bit by lenders which would be helpful.  Inflation may start to pick up slightly from very low levels now.  As energy prices find a bottom this would cease being a negative effect on inflation and may even start to add to year-over-year inflation as we start to rise off the bottom.

Here is some additional information we want to share with you this quarter:

Checkout my research summary in the quarterly Investment Pulse.

I delve into Out of the Box Investing with a look at alternative investments.

Melissa Joy, CFP®, Partner, chimes in with a timely reminder of 5 Questions to ask yourself when stocks are down.

Nick Boguth, Client Service Associate, giving his insight on Style Box Investing basics.

Check out an article on Diversification from Jaclyn Jackson, Research Associate, to help better understand the benefits.

Vice President and Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan, David Lebovitz, and The Center's Melissa Joy, CFP®, will discuss timely market and economic insights. REGISTER for the webinar!

Careful diversification and financial planning are tools to help support investor patience in choppy markets.  Don’t forget Warren Buffett’s wise advice, “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”  Patience remains a cornerstone to our investment process here at The Center. We appreciate your continued trust.   If you have any questions or would like to discuss further, do not hesitate to reach out to us!

On behalf of everyone here at The Center,

Angela Palacios CFP®
Director of Investments
Financial Advisor

Angela Palacios, CFP® is the Portfolio Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Angela specializes in Investment and Macro economic research. She is a frequent contributor to Money Centered as well as investment updates at The Center.

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David Lebovitz and JP Morgan are not affliated with Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Angela Palacios and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There are special risks associated with investing with bonds such as interest rate risk, market risk, call risk, prepayment risk, credit risk, reinvestment risk, and unique tax consequences. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represent approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary.

Don’t Lose Faith in Diversification

Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson

As investors, we’ve always been taught that portfolio diversification is essentially for good portfolio performance.  Yet, we’ve experienced three consecutive years that have some of us second guessing that old adage.  Case and point, evaluating the broad bull market from March 2009-December 2012 and the mostly flat market from December 2012–September 2015, it is clear that sometimes diversified asset classes perform well and at other times they do not.  During the period of March 2009 through November 2012, diversification generally helped returns.  From December 2012 until August 2015 diversification away from any “core” asset classes generally hurt returns.

Source: PIMCO

Source: PIMCO

Core asset classes (top) reflect the overall positive direction of the most common markets during both periods. Comparatively, diversified asset classes (bottom) generally helped portfolio returns from 2009-2012 as indicated by the blue lines showing positive returns, but thereafter generally detracted from returns as indicated by the red bars with low to negative performance. Based on this data, it’s easy to consider using a core-only investment strategy without the frills (or frustrations) of diverse investments.  However, there is one key point that we can draw from the diversified asset graph; unlike core assets, diversified assets don’t move in tandem with the market.  Believe it or not, that’s actually what’s great about them.

Many people think diversification is meant to improve returns, but it would be useful to reframe that idea; diversification is meant to improve returns for the level of risks taken. In other words, diversified investments work to balance core investments during down or volatile markets.  Let’s look back at the market bottom of 2009.

The graph illustrates that a non-diversified (stock-only) portfolio lost almost double the amount of a diversified portfolio.  Moreover, the diversified portfolio bounced back to its pre-crisis value more than a year before the stock-only portfolio.  This type of resilience is especially important for retired investors that rely on income from their portfolios. 

Not only is portfolio diversification useful for people who’ve met investment goals, it is equally helpful to long-term investors.  For investors still working toward financial goals, portfolio diversification can help produce more consistent returns, thereby increasing the prospects of reaching those goals.  The diagram below ranks the best (higher) to worst (lower) performance of 10 asset classes from 1995-2014.  The black squares represent a diversified portfolio.

Source: SPAR, FactSet Research Systems Inc.

The black squares generally middle the diagram.  As evident, the range of returns for a diversified portfolio was more consistent than individual asset classes.  Returns with less variability are more reliable for setting long-term investment goals.

Admittedly, portfolio diversification over the last three years has made it difficult for many to stick with their investment strategy.  Yet, portfolio diversification still holds merit: it can help mitigate portfolio risk; it can boost portfolio resilience; and it can provide investors the consistency necessary to set and meet financial goals.

Jaclyn Jackson is a Research Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Jaclyn Jackson and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary.

The historical performance of each index cited is provided to illustrate market trends; it does not represent the performance of a particular MFS® investment product. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance does not take into account fees and expenses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The investments you choose should correspond to your financial needs, goals, and risk tolerance. For assistance in determining your financial situation, consult an investment professional. For more information on any MFS product, including performance, please visit mfs.com. Investing in foreign and/or emerging market securities involves interest rate, currency exchange rate, economic, and political risks. These risks are magnified in emerging or developing markets as compared with domestic markets. Investing in small and/or mid-sized companies involves more risk than that customarily associated with investing in more-established companies. Bonds, if held to maturity, provide a fixed rate of return and a fixed principal value. Bond funds will fluctuate and, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Note that the diversified portfolio’s assets were rebalanced at the end of every quarter. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. to maintain the equal allocations throughout the period. Standard deviation reflects a portfolio’s total return volatility, which is based on a minimum of 36 monthly returns. The larger the portfolio’s standard deviation, the greater the portfolio’s volatility. Investments in debt instruments may decline in value as the result of declines in the credit quality of the issuer, borrower, counterparty, or other entity responsible for payment, underlying collateral, or changes in economic, political, issuer-specific, or other conditions. Certain types of debt instruments can be more sensitive to these factors and therefore more volatile. In addition, debt instruments entail interest rate risk (as interest rates rise, prices usually fall), therefore the Fund’s share price may decline during rising rate environments as the underlying debt instruments in the portfolio adjust to the rise in rates. Funds that consist of debt instruments with longer durations are generally more sensitive to a rise in interest rates than those with shorter durations. At times, and particularly during periods of market turmoil, all or a large portion of segments of the market may not have an active trading market. As a result, it may be difficult to value these investments and it may not be possible to sell a particular investment or type of investment at any particular time or at an acceptable price. https://www.mfs.com/wps/FileServerServlet?articleId=templatedata/internet/file/data/sales_tools/mfsvp_20yrsb_fly&servletCommand=default

Investment Basics: Style Box Investing

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth

Among the plethora of data points used to describe any security, there are two that are fundamental for a basic understanding of  stocks and bonds. For equities, the two pieces of data are market capitalization (size) and investment style (value/growth). For fixed income securities, the data points are interest rate sensitivity (duration) and credit quality.  These characteristics are important parts of every security’s risk/return profile, and are key in determining if and how an investment should fit in your portfolio.

In order to help investors easily identify these two key characteristics of securities, Morningstar created a useful tool – the style box. There is a separate box for equities and fixed income securities. The equity style box shows value to growth investment styles on the horizontal axis and small to large market caps on the vertical axis.  For fixed income, the horizontal axis shows limited to extensive interest rate sensitivity and the vertical axis shows low to high credit quality.

As investors, the first decision you have to make is to determine your capacity for risk. Once determined, you are able to choose investments that align with the level of risk you are willing to take.  Growth stocks typically carry more risk than value stocks, and small-cap stocks are usually riskier than large-cap.  Bonds can have limited to extensive interest rate risk based on duration (longer duration = more interest rate risk), and a bond with low credit quality is normally riskier than one with high credit quality.  Looking at the style box, this means that a security that falls in the bottom-right square will typically bear more risk (and hopefully opportunity for more return), and a security that falls in the top left box will typically have less risk. 

The style box is especially useful because not only does it indicate those fundamental data points of a single security, but you can plot all your investments on it to see the characteristics of your entire portfolio as well.   Not every individual security chosen for your portfolio has to match your exact risk profile.  In fact, when you build a portfolio, you may diversify and end up with securities that scatter all over the style box.  The suitability of investments refers to your portfolio as a whole, not individual investments, so it is acceptable to have some lower risk and some higher risk securities.  That being said, the style box does not operate on tic-tac-toe-like rules where a diversified portfolio is one with all of the boxes checked off.  It does not explain everything there is to know about a diversified portfolio, but it is a very useful tool that is essential to investment basics.

Nicholas Boguth is a Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Nick Boguth and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss regardless of strategy selected. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Fourth Quarter Investment Pulse

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®

During a very busy fourth quarter we spent some time reflecting and learning from respected experts in our industry.

October 15th Charles De Vaulx of IVA (International Value Advisors) visited our offices to participate in The Center’s first annual chili cook off.  While stopping by, Charles discussed his views on global markets and economies as well as the lack of buying opportunities out there yet. 

Charles De Vaulx, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager for IVA (International Value Advisors)

He debunked the argument by many that low interest rates justify higher price-to-earnings ratios.  He states rates are low because the world is imbalanced and de-leveraging hasn’t actually happened yet.  While many households have de-levered, governments have increased their leverage.  Debt has simply changed pockets but it is still all out there. 

Charles also argued that circumstances are very complex right now with low interest rates, countries devaluing currencies, and deflationary pressures despite the availability of low cost debt.  Even the sharpest minds are struggling knowing what to do right now. 

Some of their best decisions have simply been to stay out of trouble.  They still stand at nearly 40% in cash because they argue cash is what is needed to invest with the buy low/sell high mindset.

Mathew Murphy, Vice President and Global Fixed Income portfolio specialist for Eaton Vance

In December, Jaclyn Jackson listened to Mathew’s views on the global fixed income markets.  He stated the markets are anticipating the Federal Reserve Board (FED) to hike rates twice for a total of .5% increase in 2016. The FED wants to keep monetary policy loose and continue to increase the labor force. 

On inflation, the Fed is targeting is 2% PCU (Personal Consumption Expenditure Index) – which is very difficult to generate.  It is around 1.5% currently.  Fed is continuing to let the economy run hot because of this.  In the 1980s, the dollar was strong and by December 1985 OPEC pumped for market share in the oil markets (similar to today).  The Fed was concerned about strength in the dollar and lowering oil prices.  In 1985, in response the FED stopped hiking rates and inflation began to peak.  Today, Mathew believes the market is not pricing in interest rate hikes correctly; we are at risk of having more.   It is probable the Fed will have to move faster than the market anticipates. 

The credit story remains on a positive note here in the U.S.  Mathew doesn’t see a recession approaching, and he doesn’t think the credit cycle will turn over despite the issues in bond market liquidity in December.

Mark Peterson, Director Investment Strategy and Education from BlackRock on low returns and reaching for risk

Mark feels there is a lot of risk in portfolios today.  Low returns are a concern and causing money managers and individual investors to reach for returns and thus taking on more risk.  Low volatility for years lulled investors into a false sense of security. He favors municipal bonds as he believes they are still reasonably priced and offer tax advantages.  As a result, Mark feels high quality municipals should be a good buffer to stock market volatility.

He also argues traditional equity diversification does not help the way it has in the past; it doesn’t reduce volatility the same way because correlations between markets are so much higher than they were 15-20 years ago.  He suggests the way to combat these changes in your portfolio is to utilize low-volatility equities and alternative equity strategies like Long/short and global macro strategies.

Angela Palacios, CFP® is the Portfolio Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Angela specializes in Investment and Macro economic research. She is a frequent contributor to Money Centered as well as investment updates at The Center.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of the professionals listed and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse the opinions or services of Charles De Vaulx, Matthew Murphy, Mark Peterson, International Value Advisors, Eaton Vance, or BlackRock. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Out of the Box Investing

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®

With volatility creeping back into stock and bond markets after a long reprieve since 2008, investors are wondering where they can find returns again that aren’t tied to traditional markets, or have very low correlations.  While there are even more investment options out there than there are stuffed animals on my daughter’s bed, not all are worth your time. Here at the Center we sift through thousands of different investment options and distill them down into options that are potentially worth your time.

Alternative investments, investments other than traditional, long-only assets like stocks, bonds or cash, take many different shapes and sizes for us.  Over the past 5 or 6 years most alternatives have been a difficult place to make money as any diversification away from the largest companies in the U.S. have produced challenging comparative returns. However, over longer periods of time diversification can pay off. 

Global Macro Tactical Managers

These types of managers can “go anywhere” in the world and buy whatever and wherever they find value.  They can go up and down the capital spectrum of a company buying the debt they issue or use their common stock. These managers can also hold other assets such as cash or gold when they see trouble on the horizon. 

Long/Short Strategies

These types of strategies are similar to “hedge funds” that garner a lot of headlines. They seek to purchase some company stock and own them for their potential upside return but then they can also sell another company’s stock short; selling stock you don’t own, to potentially make money if that stock price goes down. These types of strategies can do well (or poorly) in both up and down markets. Some managers are more aggressive and try to make bets on overall market directions while others try to take a market neutral strategy and provide more bond-like returns and risk.

Real Assets

Physical or tangible assets like commodities, metals, real estate, wine, art, coins, or baseball cards can fall in this category.  Be careful as to not confuse a hobby with investments.  The two can merge but specific knowledge and a lack of emotional attachment must be had by the investor.

Private Equity

Investing in promising private companies can be a source of excellent investor returns. An investor commits a certain amount of money (usually at least $250,000) to a manager for investing in private companies. The money is generally tied up, or illiquid, for 5-8 years. In the end the invested capital and returns are usually paid out after those private companies invested in are taken public or sold off to other private equity investors.  Private equity is generally only available to accredited investors, which the SEC defines as earned income that exceeds $200,000 per year ($300,000 for married couples) for the past 2 years; accredited investors are also expected to earn that same amount of money for the current year or have at least $1,000,000 net worth, exclusive of primary residence. Often private equity firms place even more stringent guidelines on their accredited investors requiring a net worth of $5,000,000 in order to buy in to a strategy.

There are many concerns in the alternative space that must be addressed.  So what makes an alternative investment viable to us and our clients?

Affordability

First and foremost an investment option must be affordable.  Costs can erode much of an investment return especially once inflation is factored in so affordability is of utmost importance. Leverage, using borrowed money to advance returns, can lead to higher costs. For example, coin collecting; a hobby many often try to pass off as investing, is actually very difficult to make money for the masses.  There is a large markup when purchasing coins from a dealer that it is rare to be able to turn around and sell these coins for a profit within reasonable amount of time. 

Liquidity

If you can’t get to your money when you need it, what’s the point?  Think about owning hard assets like real estate.  There can be many complications when trying to sell real estate, ranging from a lack of qualified buyers in an area or a property not meeting inspection requirements etc.  If you are trying to close up a deceased loved one’s estate and most of the assets are tied up in illiquid real estate but the government wants their estate tax payment, this can be a real concern!

Understandable

Often alternative strategies we run into are so difficult to understand how the manager is actually making money or applying an investment concept that it is un-investible to us.  Lack of transparency can also lead to a lack of understanding. Often these managers won’t want to give away their intellectual capital by disclosing what they own. If we cannot understand an investment, when it will do well and when it could underperform, we may risk losing conviction and selling at the wrong time.

Alternative investments should not take the place of all of your traditional investments but rather should be used to diversify your portfolio if appropriate. It’s important to keep in mind that many of these alternative investment strategies are quite young and have bloomed during a market environment that has not been kind to them. To determine which strategies are right for you please speak to your Financial Planner!

Angela Palacios, CFP® is the Portfolio Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Angela specializes in Investment and Macro economic research. She is a frequent contributor to Money Centered as well as investment updates at The Center.

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http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/ib_accreditedinvestors.pdf This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Angela Palacios and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

How to use your Year End Bonus

Contributed by: Matt Trujillo, CFP®

It’s that time of year. The weather is getting cooler, family is in for the holidays, and yearend bonuses are about to be paid! For some the bonus might already be spent before it is paid, but for those of you that are still looking for something to do with that money consider the following:

Here are 5 things to consider in allocating your year-end bonus:

1. Review your financial plan. Are there any changes since you last updated your financial goals? 

2. Have you accumulated any additional revolving debt throughout the year? If so consider paying off some or all of it with your bonus.

3. Are your emergency cash reserves at the appropriate level to provide for your comfort?  If not consider beefing them back up.

4. Are your insurance coverages where they need to be to cover anything unexpected?  If not, consider re-evaluating these plans.

5. Review your tax situation for the year.  Make an additional deposit to the IRS if you have income that has not yet been taxed so you don’t have to make that payment and potential penalties next April.   

If you can go through the list and don’t need to put your bonus to any of those purposes, here are some other ideas:

• If you’re lucky enough to save your bonus consider maximizing your retirement plan at work ($18,000 for 2015), including the catch-up provision if you’re over 50 ($6,000 for 2015). 

• Also, consider maximizing a ROTH IRA ($5,500 for 2015) if eligible or investing in a stock purchase program at work if one is offered. 

• Another idea is a creating/or adding to an existing 529 plan, which is a good vehicle for savings for educational goals. 

• If all of these are maximized, then consider saving in your after tax (non-retirement accounts) with diversified investments.

Matthew Trujillo, CFP®, is a Certified Financial Planner™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Matt currently assists Center planners and clients, and is a contributor to Money Centered.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Matt Trujillo and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

The Ladder to Adulthood—What Millennials Need to Know

Contributed by: Clare Lilek

I graduated from college in 2014, and this year started the first salaried job of my professional career. These are big steps in what I call my “ladder to adulthood.” What is this ladder, you may ask? Well twenty-somethings (and thirty-somethings too) each have their own ladder to adulthood: the stepping blocks we accomplish little by little to become full adults. These steps can include becoming participating civil citizens, being financially independent, and having a sense of life and economic stability. Yeah, it’s a pretty important ladder.

When you turn eighteen, your ladder begins as you choose your next steps after graduating high school. Depending on how knowledgeable you are about the adult decisions that lie ahead and how ready you are to make said decisions, you could have a step ladder, or something reminiscent of a skyscraper.

Personally, I didn’t realize exactly how long my own ladder to adulthood was until I arrived at The Center. This is my first time working in the financial industry and my previous exposure to these topics were hushed whispers of the mysterious 401ks and the disappearance of pensions—what did that even mean?! After working here for a couple of months, not only did I figure out what a 401k is, but in general, my knowledge about financial topics has grown exponentially. But that got me thinking, if I didn’t work at The Center, when would I have learned all this? Would it have been too late? Well, not to worry, I have compiled a very basic list of what millennials entering the workforce fulltime should be (but aren’t necessarily) doing:

1. Think about your future. 401ks and IRAs are fancy terms for savings – savings that are dedicated to your retirement. The earlier you open one of these accounts, the more money you can accumulate and the more stable you’ll be when your retirement comes.

2. Understand the importance of the market. Investments are the way of the world and just saving money in a bank account is not going to accrue as much interest as investing does. 401ks and IRAs take your savings and invests it in the market which, in theory, will allow you to have more money than just by keeping your money in the bank.

3. Know the lingo. Stocks vs bonds, and the pros and cons of each. Understand diversified portfolios and what that means for stability.

4. Save, save, and save some more! Have a budget that includes savings, and stick to it. Don’t live beyond your means, an important life lesson! And when budgeting, save a portion of each monthly salary.

5. Have a plan. If investments and 401ks are mysteries to you, there is no shame in having a Certified Financial Planner™ help create a plan with you—actually, it’s a very “adult” thing to do. They can set up accounts, plan for your future, and make sure you’re in the know.

Hey Millennial, if you were to win the lottery today, would your first thought be, “I should probably invest that money and save for my future?” What about your second or third thought? I’m going to take a guess that, no, that’s probably not in your initial thought process. But shouldn’t it be? That’s my point. We’re not talking about these topics and no one is talking to us about them, yet they are crucial in securing our future.

We learn as preschoolers that the early bird gets the worm, and in this case, the early bird gets a more comfortable retirement and financial life. Just by learning about financial planning, investments and the like, you are stepping up that ladder to adulthood and ensuring that when you step off that ladder, you’re stepping onto a stable platform.

Clare Lilek is a Challenge Detroit Fellow / Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

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Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Clare Lilek and not necessarily those of Raymond James. 401(k) plans are long-term retirement savings vehicles. Withdrawal of pre-tax contributions and/or earnings will be subject to ordinary income tax and, if taken prior to age 59 1/2, may be subject to a 10% federal tax penalty. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Year-End Financial Checklist: 7 Tips to End on High Note

Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson

And just like that, we are already in the fourth quarter; the year has gone by quickly! Before it completely slips away...

Try these top tips to strengthen your finances and get things in order for the year ahead:  

1. Harvest your losses – Tax-loss harvesting generates losses that can be used to reduce current taxes while maintaining your asset allocation. Take advantage of this method by selling the investments that are trading at a significant loss and replacing them with a similar investment. 

2. Max out contributions – While you can wait until you file your tax return, it may be easier to take some of your end-of-year bonus to max out your annual retirement contribution.  Traditional and Roth IRAs allow you to contribute $5,500 each year (with an additional $1,000 if you’re over age 50).  You can contribute up to $18,000 for 401(k)s, 403(b)s, and 457 plans.

3. Take RMDs – Don’t forget to take the required minimum distribution (RMD) from your IRA.  The penalty for not taking your RMD on time is a 50% tax on what should have been distributed.  RMDs should be taken annually starting by April 1st of the year following the calendar year you reach 70 ½ years of age.

4. Rebalance your portfolio – It is important to rebalance your portfolio periodically to make sure you are not overweight in an asset class that has outperformed over the course of the year.  This helps maintain the investment allocation best suited for you.

5. Use up FSA money – If you haven’t depleted the money in your flexible spending account (FSA) for healthcare expenses, now is the time to squeeze in those annual check-ups.  Some plan sponsors allow employees to roll over up to $500 of unused amounts, but that is not always the case (check with your employer to see if that option is available to you). 

6. Donate to a charity – Instead of cash, consider donating highly appreciated securities to avoid paying capital gains tax.  Typically, there is no tax to you once the security is transferred and there is no tax to the charity once they sell the security.  If you’re not sure where you want to donate, a Donor Advised Fund is a great option.  By gifting to a Donor Advised Fund, you could get a tax deduction this year and distribute the funds to a charity later. 

7. Review your credit score – With all of the money transactions done during the holiday season, it makes sense to review your credit score at the end of the year.  You can go to annualcreditreport.com to request a free credit report from the three nationwide credit reporting agencies: Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion.  Requesting one of the reports every four months will help you keep a pulse on your credit status throughout the year.

Bonus: 

If there have been changes to your family (new baby, marriage, divorce, or death), consider these bonus tips:

• Adjust your tax withholdings

• Review insurance coverage

• Update financial goals, emergency funds, and budget

• Review beneficiaries on estate planning documents, retirement accounts, and insurance policies

• Start a 529 plan

Jaclyn Jackson is a Research Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Jaclyn Jackson and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. RMD's are generally subject to federal income tax and may be subject to state taxes. Consult your tax advisor to assess your situation. Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.