Is Corporate Tax Reform a Good Thing?

Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson

The probability of tax reform is increasing with the White House proposing to reduce the corporate statutory federal tax rate from 35% to 20%.  Even though most companies don’t actually pay at the 35% tax rate (26% median effective tax rate for the S&P 500), the tax cut is projected to lift S&P earnings by 8%.  While S&P projections sound good, economic benefits are not a sure thing as implications could have varying outcomes based on historical data. 

To illustrate the complexity of implications, I’ve outlined core arguments that prove and disprove the benign effects of lowering the corporate tax rate.

For:

1. Incentivizes US companies to stay in the US, expand business, and increase employment.
   
   According to a study done by J.P. Morgan, 60% of the cash held by 602 US multi-national companies is in foreign accounts. They concluded that $663 billion would be invested into business expansion and job growth in the United States, if an income tax cut were offered to companies that repatriate.
    

2. Higher corporate income taxes lower worker wages, diminish consumption, and increase unemployment.
   
   Using data from 1970-2007, a Tax Foundation study found that for every $1 increase in state and local corporate tax revenues, hourly wages would drop an estimated $2.50. Theoretically, lower wages decrease one’s ability to buy goods, resulting in lower income for businesses thereby creating a net increase in unemployment.
    

3. Job growth is inhibited by the current corporate income tax rate which is over the rate that maximizes revenue to corporations and the US government.
   
   Based on studies of the Laffer curve, the corporate income tax rate that maximizes revenue to both corporations and the US government is 30%.

Against:

1. Repatriation doesn’t ensure more jobs in the US.
   
   Congress passed a tax holiday in 2004 that allowed companies to bring back earnings made abroad at a 5% income tax instead of at 35%.  Fifteen of the companies that most benefitted cut more than 20,000 net jobs.
    

2. Historically, unemployment rates were the lowest in US when federal corporate income tax rates were the highest.
   
   From 1951 (top marginal corporate income tax rate rose from 42% to 50.75%) to 1969 (rates reached 52.8%), the unemployment rate moved from 3.3% to 3.5%. From 1986 to 2011 (top marginal corporate income tax rate declined from 46% to 35%), the unemployment rate moved from 7% to 8.9%.
   
   Majority of economists don’t link employment to lower tax rates.  When 53 American economists were polled, 65% attributed employers not hiring to lack of product/service demand.
    

3. High corporate profits don’t guarantee low unemployment rates.
   
   In 2011, corporate profits made up 10% of US GDP (highest since 1950), but corporate income tax revenue only brought the US federal government the equivalent of 1.2% of GDP (lowest in recorded history). In 2011, the US unemployment rate was 8.9% compared to the OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) average of 8.2%.

*Data summarized from https://corporatetax.procon.org/.

While most would agree lowering corporate tax rates deserves serious consideration, it is not a given that lowering corporate tax rates will improve employment nor consumption.  Today, US corporate profits are high (sitting on nearly $2 trillion in cash), yet wages and job creation hasn’t gone up significantly. There are many other factors to consider with comprehensive tax reform, not to mention the tough tradeoffs involved in this process. Frankly, tax reform is a huge, convoluted undertaking; time will tell whether the current administration is up to the task.

Jaclyn Jackson is a Portfolio Administrator and Financial Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

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The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Jaclyn Jackson and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Webinar in Review: Year-End Tax Planning

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®

On November 14th, Melissa Joy, CFP® and I hosted The Center’s annual Year-End Tax Planning Opportunities and Strategies webinar which continues to be one of our best attended discussions throughout the year.  In 2016, Melissa and I hosted the webinar two days after the presidential election and this year, the presentation was held several days after the latest GOP tax reform proposal.  Needless to say, it’s been a great chance for our team to share timely updates with clients and strategic partners! 

If you weren’t able to attend the webinar live, we’d encourage you to check out the recording below.  Here are a few key points and takeaways from our discussion:

Potential Tax Reform Highlights  

• Moving from seven tax brackets down to three or four: 12%, 25%, 35% and 39.6%

• Elimination or caps on popular deductions:  State and local taxes, medical expenses, student loan interest, mortgage deduction cap, property tax cap

• Larger standard deduction (almost doubling from $12,700 for married filers to $24,000)

• Repeal of Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)

• Corporate tax reduction (moving down to 25%)

• Estate tax exemption (almost doubling from $5.5M to $11M, with the goal of repealing the estate tax completely within 6 years)

2018 Updates

• Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA), Medicare premium adjustments, retirement plan contribution and income limit adjustments, etc.)

Retirement Planning   

• Evaluate your savings rate moving into the new year and if you’re not maxing out your 401k ($18,500 or $24,500 if over the age of 50), consider increasing your savings percentage by 1% - 2% each year

• Work with your advisor to determine if the Traditional (pre-tax) or Roth (after-tax) retirement vehicles makes sense for your situation given your current and projected future tax bracket  

Charitable Giving

• Consider utilizing a Donor Advised Fund to gift appreciated securities from a brokerage account – allows you to take a tax deduction and also avoid paying capital gains tax

• Consider utilizing the Qualified Charitable Distribution (QCD) if you’re over the age of 70 ½ - allows you to gift funds directly to charity from your IRA

Investment Planning  

• Review your allocation before year end to see if your mix between stocks and bonds is appropriate for your situation

• Consider the asset location of your portfolio to potentially improve after-tax returns

• Consider proactive planning such as tax-loss harvesting

As mentioned during the webinar, don’t forget to check out our Year-End Planning Opportunities guide in the resources portion of our website.  This guide acts as a helpful tool to help organize your financial picture before year and also provides further insight on retirement planning strategies to consider as well as a detailed overview of proposed tax reform.  Please feel free to contact your financial planning team at The Center with any questions or concerns, we’re here to help.

Nick Defenthaler, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick works closely with Center clients and is also the Director of The Center’s Financial Planning Department. He is also a frequent contributor to the firm’s blogs and educational webinars.

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This information is being provided for educational purposes only and is not intended as specific tax or investment advice. Please note, changes in tax laws may occur at any time and could have a substantial impact upon each person's situation. While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

2018 Increases Retirement Plan Contribution Limits and Other Adjustments

Contributed by: Robert Ingram

Several weeks ago, the IRS released updated figures for retirement account contribution and income limits for 2018.  Like the recent Social Security cost of living adjustment, the adjustments are minor but certainly worth noting. 

Employer Retirement Plans (401k, 403b, 457, and Thrift Savings Plans)

• $18,500 annual contribution limit (up from $18,000 compared to 2017 – first increase in 3 years!)

• $6,000 “catch-up” contribution if over the age of 50 remains the same as 2017

• Total amount that can be contributed to defined contribution plan including all contribution types (employee deferrals, employer matching and profit sharing) increases to $55,000 (up from $54,000 compared to 2017) or $61,000 if over the age of 50 ($6,000 catch-up)

  • Consider contributing after-tax funds if available and cash flow allows for it.

In addition to the contribution limits increasing for employer-sponsored retirement plans, the IRS adjustments provide some other increases that can help savers in 2018.  A couple of highlights include:

Traditional IRA deductibility income limits:

Contributions to a Traditional IRA may or may not be tax deductible depending on your tax filing status, whether you are covered by a retirement plan through your employer, and your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI).  The amount of your Traditional IRA contribution  that is deductible is reduced (“phased out”) as your MAGI approaches the upper limits of the phase out range.  For example,

• Single: Covered under a plan

  • Phase out begins at $63,000 up to $73,000 compared to 2017 (phase out: $62,000 to $72,000)

• Married filing jointly: Spouse contributing to the IRA is covered under plan

  • Phase out begins at $101,000 to $121,000 compared to 2017 (phase out: $99,000 to $119,000)

• Spouse contributing is not covered by a plan but other spouse is covered under plan

  • Phase out begins at $189,000 to $199,000 compared to 2017 (phase out:  $186,000 to $196,000)

Roth IRA contribution income limits:

Whether or not you can make the maximum contribution to a Roth IRA,  ($5,500 in 2018 plus a $1,000 “catch-up” for individuals age 50 and above) depends on your tax filing status and your MAGI.  The contribution you are allowed to make is reduced ("phased out") as your MAGI approaches the upper limits of the phase-out range.  In 2018 for example,

• Single

  • Phase out begins at $120,000 to $135,000 compared to 2017 (phase out:  $118,000 to $133,000)

• Married filing jointly

  • Phase out begins at $189,000 to $199,000 compared to 2017 (phase out: $186,000 to $196,000)

If your income is over this limit and you cannot make a regular annual contribution, you might consider a popular planning tool known as the “back-door” Roth conversion.

As we enter 2018, these updated figures will be on the forefront when updating your financial game plan.  However, as always, if you have any questions surrounding these changes, don’t hesitate to reach out to our team!

Robert Ingram is a Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

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The information contained in this blog does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Bob Ingram, CFP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The above hypothetical examples are for illustration purposes only. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

Guide to the 2017 Benefits Open Enrollment

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®

As summer winds down and we quickly approach the holiday season, many employees will soon be updating their benefit options at work during open enrollment (click here to check out our webinar from last year on this topic).  It’s extremely easy to procrastinate and set that employer benefit booklet off to the side and put it off until you receive the e-mail from HR reminding you it’s due in a few days.  You scramble to complete the forms and more than likely, not spend as much time as you should on electing the benefits that will impact you for the next 365 days.  We’ve all been there, but it’s important to carve out a few hours several weeks before your benefit elections are due to ensure you put in enough time to thoroughly review your options.

If offered by your employer, below are some benefits that you should have on your radar:

• 401k Contributions

  • Are you maximizing your account? ($18,000 or $24,000 if you’re over 50 in 2017)

  • Traditional vs. Roth – click here to learn more about which option could make sense for you  

• Health Insurance

  • HMO vs. PPO - Click here to learn more about how these plans differ from a cost and functionality standpoint  

• Flex Spending Accounts (FSA)

  • “Use it or lose it” – click here to learn more 

  • Medical FSA maximum annual contribution 2017 is $2,550

  • Dependent care FSA maximum annual contribution for 2017 is $5,000

• Health Savings Accounts (HSA)

  • Can only be used if covered under a high-deductible health care plan

  • Click here to learn more about the basics of utilizing a HSA 

    • $3,400 maximum annual contribution in 2017 if single ($4,400 if over 50)

    • $6,750 maximum annual contribution in 2017 for a family ($7,750 if over 50)

• Life and Disability Insurance

  • Most employers will offer a standard level of coverage that does not carry a cost to you as the employee (example – 1X earnings)

  • If you’re in your 20s, 30s and 40s, in most cases, the base level of coverage is not sufficient, therefore, it’s important to consult with your advisor on the on appropriate amount of coverage given your own unique situation  

As with anything related to financial planning, every situation is different.  The benefits you choose for you and your family more than likely will not make the most sense for your lunch buddy co-worker.  We encourage all clients to loop us in when reviewing their benefit options during open enrollment – don’t hesitate to pass along any questions you might have to ensure you’re making the proper elections that align with your own personal financial goals.

Nick Defenthaler, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick works closely with Center clients and is also the Director of The Center’s Financial Planning Department. He is also a frequent contributor to the firm’s blogs and educational webinars.

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This information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete.

Webinar in Review: A Beginners Guide for Those Just Starting Out

Contributed by: Emily Lucido

With a little bit of wit and a whole lot of information, Kali Hassinger, CFP® and Josh Bitel, Client Service Associate, recently presented a webinar that provided young folks with a broad guide for how to start their financial lives off on the right foot. As we found out during the presentation, making smart choices early can make life easier in the long run.

Although Millennials have an average debt of 50% in just student loans, they are doing better than most people might think. About 80% have a budget and 72% are saving for retirement. (Source: http://bit.ly/2bBC3vG). If you are a Millennial and are reading and thinking, “I’m not saving for retirement and I don’t have a budget,” that’s okay! Even by taking small steps now, you can make a huge difference rather than waiting. There are a lot of different factors to think about when tackling financials in the “real world.” The first step is to get organized.

Spending vs. Saving

You can spend smarter by following these tips below:

• Stay Organized - which can include setting up account notifications & alerts

  • These notifications can be set up for when you complete a transaction, or if your balance falls below a specific amount (you can set the minimum balance amount yourself)

  • The notifications can also be good for detecting fraud

• Applications & Technology

  • There are a ton of free apps out there that can help with any situation, just google your need and you can find something suitable for you

• Figuring out your Credit Score

  • Credit Karma gives you free access to your credit score and is highly secure

  • What determines your credit score?
    ~ Check out our blog that breaks down your credit score composition!

  • When building credit and using credit cards, you want to make sure to use only around or below 30% of your available credit

  • Watch for annual fees on credit cards; see if opening the card is worth the annual fee you will end up paying

  • Set up auto pay on all your bills with your credit card to benefit with cash back and rewards

  • To avoid ATM fees, go to the store and buy something small (like a pack of gum) and then get cash back on that purchase

• Student Loans

  • Student loans are something you want to start paying down right away – and if you can make more than just the minimum payment, try to do that

  • Make sure your payments are being allocated toward your highest interest loan

  • A good resource to show you every student loan you have, whether federal or private is, Annualcreditreport.com

Saving is so important, and to start sooner can make such a big difference in the long run. These tip s help with how to smartly save money:

• Cash Savings

  • In case of emergency it’s good to have six months of living expenses in a savings account

• Investing Early

  • The graph below demonstrations how investing your savings early can really benefit you in the long run

  • In the example below Chloe started investing from age 25 and almost reaches $2 million dollars by the age of 65, while we see Noah saves from age 25 (the same amount of money) and just let it sit in cash and only obtained about $653,000 by the age of 65.

• Retirement Savings

  • Although retirement might seem far away, it is important to be forward thinking and plan ahead

  • Employer plans are a great opportunity to save money if your company offers one - always remember to contribute at least the match if you can

• If your employer doesn’t offer a retirement plan you can still invest through a Roth IRA or Traditional IRA. Depending on your situation a Roth or an IRA could work for you.

• Taxes – some quick tips

  • The more money you make, the more you pay in taxes!

  • You can write off student loan interest of up to $2,500 per year

  • TurboTax® is a great online resource for doing your taxes with a 100% accurate calculation guarantee

• Insurance

  • Insurance is something that is so important – but something that can be overlooked when we are young

  • Staying on your parents health coverage until age of 26 is great – but don’t just assume it’s the best option because you aren’t paying anything

  • Remember to get renters insurance when living in an apartment – you never know when you might need it!

The last thing to remember is the 28/36 Rule. Your housing expenses should not exceed 28% of your gross monthly income while your total debt payments should not exceed 36%. Remember, the earlier you start saving the better – and any place you start at is good.

Take 30 minutes to view the webinar below and get the full details of Kali and Josh’s discussion. If you have any questions, please reach out to us -- we’re here to help!

Emily Lucido is a Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

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The information contained in this blog does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Emily Lucido and not necessarily those of Raymond James. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

Retirement Planning: Roth 401k vs Traditional 401k

Contributed by: Kali Hassinger, CFP®

With our country’s ever-changing tax policies, we are left to hypothesize what taxation will look like in the coming years. Striking the right balance between taxation now and taxation during retirement is complicated, but a recent study has shown that it may not significantly affect our overall savings behaviors. Since 2006, employers have had the option to offer Roth 401ks to employees, and approximately 49% of employers now include this option as part of their incentive package. 

Roth 401ks effectively remove a large portion of the taxation mystery because all employee contributions are made on an after-tax basis. That means that you pay the tax today at the current and stated rate, but, assuming you wait until 59 ½ and have held the account for five years, all withdrawals are tax-free. All employer matches and contributions, however, are still made on a before-tax basis, so there will still be a tax liability for those future withdrawals.

The Harvard Business School study compared the current and previous savings rates of employees who were given the option to contribute to a Roth 401k and a traditional before-tax 401k. Somewhat surprisingly, there were no significant changes or differences between the before-tax 401k and Roth 401k savings rates. It would be easy to assume that Roth 401ks would have a lower contribution rate because current taxes would eat away at the employee’s ability to save. However, it instead appears that employees continued to use the same savings rates as before-tax 401ks, effectively reducing their current cash flow. Although the participant will pay more tax today, they will have greater purchasing power during retirement. 

The study also touched on the significant participation rate differences between 401k plans that automatically enrolled employees and those that didn’t. With an automatic enrollment plan, unless they choose otherwise, the employee will contribute at least the plan’s default deferral percentage. The lowest participation rate in the studied auto-enroll plans was 90%, while the highest participation rate for a non-enrollment plan (meaning the employees had to manually choose to participate) was 64%.

The study itself didn’t address the question of which type of 401k contribution is more beneficial from a tax or long-term standpoint, but a Roth 401k would inarguably have more purchasing power than a traditional 401k with the same balance. Regardless of what your current retirement plan offers, you can feel confident knowing that both before-tax and Roth 401ks can provide a secure retirement when paired with solid and strategic planning.

Kali Hassinger, CFP® is an Associate Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

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This information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Opinions expressed are those of Kali Hassinger and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk, investors may incur a profit or loss regardless of the strategy or strategies employed. Every investor's situation is unique, you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment decision. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with a financial professional about your individual situation.

Sources: http://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/front-loading_taxation_b10a2f45-48ff-45ff-9547-99039cf8e9da.pdf

https://www.wsj.com/articles/roth-vs-traditional-401-k-study-finds-a-clear-winner-1497233040?mod=e2fb&mg=prod/accounts-wsj

Planning Ahead: How Having an Estate Plan can avoid a Headache

Contributed by: Matt Trujillo, CFP®

Can you believe 2017 is half over already?! That New Year’s resolution that you had to get your estate planning documents drafted is already getting a little stale. For those procrastinators amongst you, I thought I would write about what happens if you pass without a will or trust in place.

First let’s define what the legal term is for people that pass away without a valid will or trust in place. The term used is “Intestacy.”

What is intestacy?

You are said to have died intestate if you pass without a valid will. Intestacy laws govern the property distribution of someone who dies intestate. Each of the 50 states has adopted intestate succession laws that spell out how this distribution is to occur, and although each state's laws vary, there are some common general principles. The laws are designed to transfer legal ownership of property the recently deceased owned or controlled to the people the state considers their heirs. These laws also control how these individuals are to receive this property and when the property is distributed.

Example:

Frank is a Michigan resident and is married with two minor children. He keeps meaning to write his will but hasn't gotten around to it yet. One day, Frank gets hit by a truck while crossing the street and dies instantly. Because he has no will, the intestate succession laws of Michigan govern how his property is distributed. Under Michigan law, 50 percent of Frank's property passes to his wife, and 50 percent passes to Frank's two minor children (25 percent each). Had Frank had a will, he could have left everything to his wife.

Technical Note:

Real property is distributed under the intestacy laws of the state in which it is located. Personal property is distributed under the intestacy laws of the state in which you are domiciled at the time of your death.

Why should you avoid intestacy?

• Cost

  • Intestacy can be more costly than drafting and probating a will. In most states, an administrator must furnish a bond, where you can often waive this requirement in your will. Also, an administrator's powers are limited, and he or she must get permission from the court to do many things. The cost of these proceedings is paid by your estate.

• You can't decide who gets your property

  • State intestacy laws will determine who receives your property. These laws divide up your property among your heirs, and if you have no heirs, the state itself will claim your property.

  • Unlike beneficiaries under your will who can be anyone to whom you wish to leave property, heirs are defined as your legal spouse and specific relatives in your family. If the state can find no heirs, it could claim the property for itself (the property escheats to (goes to) the state). The laws of your state determine the order in which heirs will receive your property, the percentage that each will receive, and in what form they will receive it, whether in cash, property, lump sum, annuity, or other form.

• Special needs are not met

  • State intestacy laws are inflexible. They do not consider special needs of your heirs. For example, minor children will receive their share with no strings attached, whether they are competent to manage it or not.

• Heirs may be short-changed

  • The predetermined distribution pattern set out by state law can end up giving a larger portion of your estate to an heir than you intended for he or she to have. It may also leave one of your heirs with too little.

• You can't decide who administers your estate

  • If you die intestate, the probate court will name an administrator to manage your estate. You will have no say in who settles your estate.

• You have no say in who becomes a guardian for your minor children

  • A court will appoint personal and property guardians for your minor children, since you didn't specify otherwise. You will also expose the assets you leave your child to the management skills of someone you may not approve of.

• Relations take priority over friends and others

  • State intestacy laws will distribute your property to family members in a preset pattern. These laws do not take your relationship with your family into account when dividing up your estate. As a result, that brother that you haven't spoken to in 20 years may end up with a portion of your assets that you'd rather he not have.

• Tax planning options are eliminated

  • Without a will or some other means of disposing of your property, you can't plan to minimize or provide payment of income or estate taxes.

• Family fights can occur

  • Who gets Grandma's jewelry? Or what about that stamp collection that you began 30 years ago? Distribution by intestacy law provides no answers to specific questions like these. If these questions cannot be resolved peaceably, lawsuits may result or the property in question may end up being sold and the proceeds distributed to the squabbling family.

How is property distributed under intestacy?

The pattern of distribution varies immensely from state to state. You must check with your state to find out what its intestate's will looks like. Generally, the rules are as follows:

• If you leave a spouse, but no children, the spouse takes the entire estate

• If you leave a spouse and children, each takes a share

• If you leave children and no spouse, the children take the entire estate in equal shares

• If you leave no spouse or children, the entire estate goes to your parents

• If you leave no spouse, children, or parents, the entire estate goes to your siblings (or your siblings' descendants)

• If you leave none of the above, the entire estate goes to your grandparents and their descendants (your aunts, uncles, and cousins)

• If you leave no heirs, the next takers are your deceased spouse's heirs

• If there are no heirs on either side, the next to take are your next of kin, those who are most nearly related to you by blood

• If there are no next of kin, your estate escheats to the state

Matthew Trujillo, CFP®, is a Certified Financial Planner™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Matt currently assists Center planners and clients, and is a contributor to Money Centered.

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This information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. While we are familiar with the legal and tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on legal or tax matters. These matters should be discussed with the appropriate professional.

A Tax Cut for Corporations?

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®

President Trump has discussed that corporate tax rates need a face lift. It is likely some changes could be on the horizon for U.S. corporations. But do they need this tax break?

A Little Background

Right now, the US has the 2nd highest corporate tax rate in the world. Over the past 20 years, corporate tax rates around the world have come down while ours have stayed the same, resulting in our goods becoming less competitive and production moving out of the country. 

Source: Government Accountability Office, Office of Management and Budget, KPMG, Tax Foundation, Bureau of Economic Analysis, American Action Forum, and Morgan Stanley

There are a couple of ideas being floated right now.  The House GOP is proposing dropping the corporate tax rate from nearly 40% to 25%, while President Trump is proposing a more drastic cut down to 15%.  Either of these changes could be positive for corporations here in the U.S. potentially boosting performance of their stock prices and/or increasing dividends paid to investors. 

Do Corporations Actually Pay the Stated Rate?

If you look at the chart below you see the answer is no. The effective rate the median S&P 500 Corporation pays is below 30% (blue line) and has steadily declined over the past 20 years. The tax cut would still be a boost to the bottom line of the average corporation, since many still pay more than the highest proposed rates.  A cut could also potentially prevent off-shoring since the current effective tax rate paid by the average corporation now still falls in the ranks of the most expensive countries to do business in, from a corporate tax perspective.

For some companies paying well below the median, a tax cut and simplification (removal of tax deductions) of the tax code could negatively effect the corporations by increasing the amount of taxes they end up paying. This is one example of how we continue to monitor the economy and policies and how changes may affect your portfolios. Please don’t hesitate to reach out with questions! We are happy to help!

Angela Palacios, CFP® is the Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Angela specializes in Investment and Macro economic research. She is a frequent contributor The Center blog.

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This information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Opinions expressed are those of Angela Palacios and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. Opinions expressed are not intended as investment advice or to predict future investment performance. Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted.

Webinar in Review: 2017 Economic and Investment Update

Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson

As the current bull market for U.S. stocks nears its eighth anniversary, is there potential room to grow or could we be heading for the next recession? In the face of slow growth, low interest rates, and low inflation how could "Trumped-Up" economics and an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve, affect the economy and the markets going forward?

On February 21st, 2017, Vanguard Investment Strategy Group Education Specialist, Maria Quinn, and Center for Financial Planning Director of Investments, Angela Palacios, CFP®, teamed up to tackle these pressing questions with a market and economics insights webinar.  While Maria discussed market themes and outlooks, Angela focused on policy changes and their potential impact on investments.

Here is a recap of key points from the “Economic & Investment Update” webinar (as well as a link to the webinar replay).

• Global growth should stabilize, not stagnate. Risks to the global growth outlook is more balanced this year as U. S. and European policy adds to increasingly sound economic fundamentals that should, in part, offset weakness in the United Kingdom and Japan. Aided by labor productivity rebound, Vanguard believes U.S. growth could be 2.5% in 2017. Vanguard’s long term 2% U.S. growth trend is influenced by lower population growth and the exclusion of consumer-debt-fueled boost to growth evident between 1980 and the Global Financial Crisis.

• Deflationary forces are cyclically moderating. Central banks (globally) will struggle to meet 2% inflation targets. U.S. core inflation may modestly overshoot 2% this year, prompting the Fed to raise rates. U.S. wage growth has increased slightly and may continue to rise with productivity gains. Euro-area inflation will move towards target, but will like stay below it. There is deflation in Asia and monetary easing is not having the desired effect on nominal wage growth.

• Cautiously optimistic outlook indicates modest portfolio returns underscoring the value of investment discipline, realistic expectations, and low-cost strategies. Keep in mind, diversification doesn’t work every time, but it can work over time.

• Corporate tax and trade reform could have mixed implications. The U.S. has one of the highest corporate tax rates among developed countries. A lower corporate tax policy may curve current incentives for U.S. businesses to operate in other countries or take on too much debt. Lowering the corporate tax rate could benefit U.S. stock price performance or potentially increase the amount of dividends paid back to investors. On the other hand, it could increase inflation which may cause higher interest rates and strengthen the dollar.

  With respect to trade reform, a tariff, value added tax, or border added tax on imports could increase the cost of goods and build inflation in the U.S. Additionally, other countries may retaliate with tariffs on U.S. products, triggering trade wars. Another thought is that U.S. goods could become more expensive at home and in other countries creating a scenario where U.S. goods have higher prices and with lower demand.

• Tips for strategic action when markets are up include: planning for upcoming cash needs; rebalancing portfolios; making charitable contributions; and maintaining plan discipline.

If you missed the webinar, please check out the replay below. As always, if you have questions about topics discussed, please give us a call!

Jaclyn Jackson is a Portfolio Administrator and Financial Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

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The BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. T-Bill 0-3 Month Index tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar denominated U.S. Treasury Bills publicly issued in the U.S. domestic market with a remaining term to final maturity of less than 3 months. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 21 developed nations. The MSCI Emerging Markets is designed to measure equity market performance in 25 emerging market indices. The index's three largest industries are materials, energy, and banks. Dow Jones Equity All REIT TR Index measures the total return performance of the equity subcategory of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry as calculated by Dow Jones. 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Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse the opinions or services of Maria Quinn.

Beware of Potential Tax Seasons Scams

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®

Scams are everywhere in the world we live in today. It seems as if it’s a daily occurrence to see a report on the nightly news of a new ploy to take advantage of consumers. Recently, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) said it tracked a nearly 50% increase in identity theft complaints in 2015 and that the biggest contributor to this massive spike was due to tax refund fraud. Thousands of Americans have realized when going to file their taxes, that their return has already been processed! This could easily occur if a cybercriminal gets a hold of your Social Security number. 

Source for chart and statistic:  https://krebsonsecurity.com/2016/01/ftc-tax-fraud-behind-47-spike-in-id-theft/ 

With tax season now in full swing, avoiding an IRS/tax return related scam or a “phishing” ploy is top of mind for many. Below are some helpful tips the IRS has provided:

• The IRS will NOT…

  • E-mail or text taxpayers

  • Call you to demand immediate payment. The IRS will not call you if you owe taxes without first sending you a bill in the mail.

  • Demand that you pay taxes and not allow you to question or appeal the amount you owe.

  • Require that you pay your taxes a certain way. For instance, require that you pay with a prepaid debit card.

  • Ask for your credit or debit card numbers over the phone.

  • Threaten to bring in police or other agencies to arrest you for not paying. 

If you’re contacted by someone who claims to work for the IRS or is demanding you to take action, the best course of action is to not provide any personal information, immediately hang up and contact the IRS directly by phone at 800-829-1040. Click here to visit the IRS’ website for more tips on protecting yourself from a potential tax related scam.   

Also, if you haven’t already, I’d recommend watching the webinar we hosted in early 2016 with Andy Zolper, Chief IT Security Officer with Raymond James to learn more about the measures we take to ensure the integrity of client information. Andy also offers some great advice on how to protect yourself from cyber threats at home and on your mobile devices. 

Nick Defenthaler, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick works closely with Center clients and is also the Director of The Center’s Financial Planning Department. He is also a frequent contributor to the firm’s blogs and educational webinars.

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This information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Links to third party websites are being provided for informational purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members. Raymond James Financial Services Inc. and its advisors do not provide advice on tax or legal issues, these matters should be discussed with a tax or legal professional.