Don’t Let the Gender Pay Gap Derail Your Retirement

Contributed by: Laurie Renchik, CFP®, MBA

Women hold a tremendous amount of financial power and are an active part of the workforce and economy as a whole. At a time when women are assuming added responsibility for their families and finances, the gender pay gap that is a reality for many has the potential to derail security in retirement.  

Recently, Ellevate Network surveyed thousands of professional women and found that 26% of respondents worry that they are not making enough money today and 30% worry that they are not planning well enough for retirement.

If you have these concerns, here are some steps you can take: 

1. Do your homework about salary ranges for your given position and your growth prospects for the industry. Then be prepared to negotiate.

2. Leverage benefits provided by your employer.  Medical, dental, life insurance and disability are just some of the benefits that may be part of your compensation package.  Pay attention to when you become eligible.

3. Prioritize your own retirement and begin saving as soon as economically feasible. On average women live longer than men and accumulate less in retirement accounts. Don’t forget to increase your contribution every time you receive a raise.

4. Understand how your lifetime earnings directly impact your Social Security benefit. Benefits are calculated on the highest 35 years of earnings.  If there are fewer than 35 years, then zeros go into the calculation.

Shining some much needed light on the gender wage gap can make a difference for all women. In the meantime, women can adopt good financial habits early in life, set their own goals, and garner the support they need to stick to those habits over the long run. We can help you pull together the details you need to put your plan in place.

Laurie Renchik, CFP®, MBA is a Partner and Senior Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. In addition to working with women who are in the midst of a transition (career change, receiving an inheritance, losing a life partner, divorce or remarriage), Laurie works with clients who are planning for retirement. Laurie was named to the 2013 Five Star Wealth Managers list in Detroit Hour magazine, is a member of the Leadership Oakland Alumni Association and in addition to her frequent contributions to Money Centered, she manages and is a frequent contributor to Center Connections at The Center.

---

Five Star Award is based on advisor being credentialed as an investment advisory representative (IAR), a FINRA registered representative, a CPA or a licensed attorney, including education and professional designations, actively employed in the industry for five years, favorable regulatory and complaint history review, fulfillment of firm review based on internal firm standards, accepting new clients, one- and five-year client retention rates, non-institutional discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered, number of client households served.

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Laurie Renchik and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss.

Our 30th Anniversary Party at Ford Field

Contributed by: Nancy Sechrist

This coming Sunday is Opening Day at Ford Field.  It was just a few short months ago that we were celebrating an event of our own on the Lion’s big stage, so we thought we’d do a little bit of reminiscing…

When you’re celebrating 30 years serving clients, you have to do it in a big way. Around here, there’s not much bigger than the home of the Detroit Lions, Ford Field.  About 300 of our clients, Center team members, and family helped us celebrate. Entertainment included talented musicians, a magician, a juggler, and caricature artists. The fun performers and the delicious food gave an old Detroit nostalgic feel to what we called the “Street Fair” themed event. A photographer used green screen technology to help guests create their own photos to take home.  And the Detroit Lion’s mascot Roary wandered around showing off his sense of humor and taking pictures with everyone. Many also enjoyed a tour of Ford Field. Some of us even got to have a little fun throwing a football around right on the field itself before the party started. 

We also had an additional reason to celebrate … the retirement of two of the founders of the company, Marilyn Gunther and Dan Boyce. Enough can’t be said about the genuine gift of guidance, direction, accomplishments, and mentoring that Dan and Marilyn have given. We credit them for building The Center up from scratch and passing on the real meaning of the soul of the company. In the beautiful, sunlit atrium, Tim Wyman delivered a gracious presentation thanking the founders as well as our clients for making The Center what it is today.

Nancy Sechrist is the Office Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

Part 9 – A Year of Lessons on Money Matters for your Children and Grandchildren

Contributed by: Matthew E. Chope, CFP®

When it comes to teaching the next generation about money, it’s as important to talk about what NOT to do as it is to teach the right things to do. After working with clients for 25 years I’ve built a list of Things to avoid at all costs!!!  The 8 steps below are never a guarantee, but from experience, they are good financial lessons:

8 Things to Avoid:

1. Avoid expensive bad debt. Know what something costs and don’t pay for things with expensive interest.  Reasonable interest rates in 2015 are 2-4% for a car loan (some are even less!), 3-4% for a mortgage, and 3-6% for school loans (depending on your situation). Credit cards should be used only as a last resort and make sure the rates are less than 10%.

2. Don’t take on more debt than necessary. In the case of college loans, you’re likely to be offered more money on loan than you truly need. While it may be tempting to take out money for living expenses and books, finding ways to pay for as much as possible immediately can save you years of repaying debt.

3. Don’t be lazy or cheap. Do it now! Make a decision and do it – stop putting things off and being lazy. Also know what the value of things are and pay for them when needed and be reasonable.  Share and try to do more for others than yourself at all stages of your life it comes back to you.

4. Avoid negative modes of thought. Sentiments like envy, resentment, revenge and self-pity are not productive.  These modes of thought will sap the life out of you and derail you from what you should be focused on.  If you worry about what someone else has or getting back at someone, you lost already and you’re wasting precious resources that could be better used on yourself and personal improvement.  I strongly recommend asking your mentor for help with breaking this cycle.

5. Don’t be rude. Though it seems pretty self-explanatory, I once had a business meeting with a colleague at a restaurant and he was very short and rude to the waiter because of the slightest error.  After that, I never wanted to do business with him again.  Treat people the way you want to be treated.

6. Avoid investing in anything that you don't understand.  Buy what you know.  Invest in products and services that you use and feel work for you in your life because you will feel more confident with your investment.  Or break down an investment in a mutual fund to understand what it’s made up of so that when it goes south, you have staying power during the market downturns that will eventually come.

7. Don’t cosign for a loan. Should be self-explanatory, but you’re putting your credit on the line if the person you are cosigning for falls short or has any type of trouble.

8. Avoid taking a loan from your 401k at all costs. This is silly to do under most circumstances.  You actually pay extra tax in this process and rob the forward momentum of the retirement goal to fund another short term want.  The equation does not work out well for most people when it comes to wealth building.

While some of these “what not to do” suggestions seem obvious, I’ve seen them played out time and again.  Hopefully, the list will provide you with some insight on what to stay away from … or at least know when you are walking on thin ice! If you have questions, we are always here to help find answers.

Matthew E. Chope, CFP ® is a Partner and Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Matt has been quoted in various investment professional newspapers and magazines. He is active in the community and his profession and helps local corporations and nonprofits in the areas of strategic planning and money and business management decisions. In 2012 and 2013, Matt was named to the Five Star Wealth Managers list in Detroit Hour magazine.

---

Five Star Award is based on advisor being credentialed as an investment advisory representative (IAR), a FINRA registered representative, a CPA or a licensed attorney, including education and professional designations, actively employed in the industry for five years, favorable regulatory and complaint history review, fulfillment of firm review based on internal firm standards, accepting new clients, one- and five-year client retention rates, non-institutional discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered, number of client households served.

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Matthew Chope and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss. You should discuss any tax matters with the appropriate professional.

Smart Money Tips for College Students

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

Earlier this fall I packed my daughter off to college.  The experience of stepping back on to a college campus at the beginning of a new school year certainly brought back memories…buying books and spirit wear, free t-shirts for completing credit card applications, and ordering pizza to my dorm room. It also brought back memories of lots and lots of college students making lots and lots of bad money decisions.

If you are like me, no matter whether your child is a freshman or a senior in college, you want to make sure that your child is learning some important financial life lessons while they are enjoying their time at school.  And if you are like me, your child might sometimes tune you out if you are trying to teach them lessons based on your college days. “Mom, that was so long ago; things are different now!”  I wanted to make sure I could pass on some tips here that were relevant and timely, so I took the opportunity to talk to our younger team members at The Center, who have more recent college experience. Here are the tips straight from the mouths of our young professionals at The Center:

Top 5 Smart Money Tips for College Students:

1. Don’t spend loan money on things outside of tuition, books and room and board. Take as little out in loans as possible; your future you will appreciate it!

2. If you can, arrange your class schedule to allow yourself to hold a part time job – even a few hours a week – to help with expenses.

3. Open a credit card with a small limit early to build some credit. Consider using it only for specific expenses (i.e. gas) and pay it off monthly!!!

4. Actively search out scholarships and grants year-round – they are out there for everyone.

5. Start early when it comes to exploring internships and jobs for summer and after graduation.  The more experience you have from internships and jobs, the more marketable you are. The earlier you can lock in positions, the less stress you have at the end of the school year.

Please feel free to share these tips with your students, with the hope that they start their college career building good financial habits.  If we can be of assistance with additional tips, or with your education planning needs, please contact us.

Sandra Adams, CFP® is a Partner and Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Sandy specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and is a frequent speaker on related topics. In 2012-2014 Sandy has been named to the Five Star Wealth Managers list in Detroit Hour magazine. In addition to her frequent contributions to Money Centered, she is regularly quoted in national media publications such as The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine and Journal of Financial Planning.

---

Five Star Award is based on advisor being credentialed as an investment advisory representative (IAR), a FINRA registered representative, a CPA or a licensed attorney, including education and professional designations, actively employed in the industry for five years, favorable regulatory and complaint history review, fulfillment of firm review based on internal firm standards, accepting new clients, one- and five-year client retention rates, non-institutional discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered, number of client households served.

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Sandy Adams and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

The Center Helps Send Southfield Students Back to School

Co-Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson and Kali Hassinger

On August 15th, Center team members, Kali Hassinger and Jaclyn Jackson, joined the Southfield community for a day of volunteering and fun at the Southfield Public Schools Back to School Summer Bash.  The event provided free school supplies, books, and pertinent information to families gearing up for the 2015-16 school year.  Featuring rides, ice cream, music, farm animals, and festival food, the picnic-style event proved to be great day for the Southfield community. 

“As we were organizing supplies to give away, you could see a long line forming. One of the volunteers even joked that it looked like a line for a Justin Bieber concert. You could tell parents and students were excited about the event,” Jaclyn said.   

The event reflects responsiveness to recent demographic changes of the school district. Today, sixty-five percent of enrolled students qualify for free or reduced lunch.

“It was such a positive event. It feels great to know that a student, who may not have the ability to buy those supplies otherwise, is starting the year prepared,” Kali explained. 

In addition to volunteering, The Center was an event sponsor.  Sponsorship and volunteer efforts are part of The Center’s vision for community partnering, which aims to contribute $100,000 in sweat equity, commitment, and financial contributions by 2020.  In just 3 hours, the Summer Bash distributed enough school supplies to fill a large school bus.  With continuing support from community sponsors, they hope to keep the annual event going.

 The Center wishes every student a successful and enjoyable 2015-16 school year!

Jaclyn Jackson is a Research Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

Kali Hassinger is a Registered Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

Importance of a Net Worth Statement

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®

As summer comes to an end and school starts back up, I’ve been reminded yet again of the power a list can have.  Chances are your son or daughter was given a list of school supplies he or she was expected to purchase prior to school starting. Probably a much longer list than you would have liked!  On top of that, I’m sure you had to do some back-to-school clothes shopping, make a hefty grocery trip to account for lunches each day, plan your calendar with your work schedule and finish last minute things around the house before the craziness of the new school year started.  Can you imagine not having a list for any of these tasks or items?  Pure chaos!  Even with a list, I bet you still felt overwhelmed!  Studies have proven time and time again that lists help us reduce stress and dramatically increase the likelihood of getting the things done we want to accomplish.  With that being said, the significance of a list is no exception when it comes to your personal finances!

What’s in a Net Worth Statement?

One of the “cornerstone” documents we utilize with clients is a personal net worth statement.  Simply put, your personal net worth statement is an organized list of your assets and liabilities that helps you determine where you’re at, where you want to be, and things that can be done now and in the future to help you get there.  We start with the assets you own and break them out as cash accounts (checking/savings), investment accounts (after-tax brokerage accounts), retirement accounts (IRA, Roth IRA, 401k) and hard assets (real estate, automobiles, jewelry, art, etc.).  We then itemize any outstanding liabilities (mortgage, auto loans, student loans, credit cards, etc.) to see what your total debt load looks like.  When you take the difference between your assets and liabilities, we arrive at your net worth. 

How Can my Net Worth Statement Help?

It’s truly amazing how powerful such a simple, working document can be and how big of an impact it can have in a client’s life.  We track your net worth statement each and every year to look at the progress you’ve made and help us identify certain areas that need attention.  For example, we may notice that 100% of the assets you’ve earmarked for retirement are held within your Traditional 401k.  With 10 years prior to retirement, we may recommend that you start saving additional dollars into an after-tax brokerage account that will be used to help fund your retirement goals so the money isn’t taxed as heavily when withdrawn.  This is just one example of many that we can identify by reviewing your personal net worth statement each year together. 

If you have never taken the time to make even a rough draft of your own personal net worth statement, I would highly encourage you to do so.  I think many of us are hesitant to do this because deep down, we know we won’t like what we’ll see.  Even if this is true, how can you make a change if you don’t start somewhere?  A personal net worth statement is, in my opinion, one of your most important “lists” you will make and is a document everyone should have.  Don’t hesitate to reach out to us if we can help you get started or analyze your own net worth statement!

Nick Defenthaler, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Nick is a member of The Center’s financial planning department and also works closely with Center clients. In addition, Nick is a frequent contributor to the firm’s blogs.

---

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Nick Defenthaler and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss regardless of strategy selected. You should discuss any tax matters with the appropriate professional.

Why Investors Get Serious at Age 40

Contributed by: Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD

In my experience, folks tend to get “serious” about financial planning when they near age 40. The earlier you start the better, but when you near the age of 40, you may have a variety of financial issues (sometimes disguised as challenges) you are dealing with.   For the 40+ crowd retirement is no longer simply an event that is way out in the distance.  It’s time to put pencil to paper, take stock of where you are financially today, and make real plans for ultimate financial independence.

4 Steps to Getting Started at 40

During a recent consultation a new client simply needed some guidance on where to prioritize savings.  Fortunately, they had both the desire and cash flow to start feeding the retirement nest egg. Even with the ability to save, the options available can be somewhat overwhelming.  If you find yourself in a similar situation – here are 4 ideas that might help:

1. Make maximum contributions to employer sponsored retirement plans such as 401k or 403b plans.  Under current law, you are able to contribute up to $18,000 per year to said plans.  For those over the age of 50, an additional $6,000 may be contributed.  The idea is that most people are in a higher marginal tax bracket during their working years than in retirement and these plans can provide tax leverage in addition to tax deferred growth of any earnings.

2. Make use of ROTH IRAs if eligible.  Higher income earners (singles earning over $116,000 and married/filing jointly over $183,000) may not be able to make an annual contribution to a ROTH IRA. However, we have assisted some people in making “Back Door Roth IRA” contributions.  Not only is the name cool – it can add a real punch to tax free income. We’d enjoy discussing if this is a potential strategy for you.

3. Consider Taxable Brokerage Accounts. While the contributions or deposits are not tax favored, having after tax investments can provide great flexibility, especially if you are considering retirement before age 59.5.

4. Look at tax deferred annuities and life insurance.  For some higher earners using either of these tax-favored vehicles may provide additional savings opportunities.  Generally, the first three vehicles mentioned above should be utilized first.

We are here to help you prioritize and make the best use of each and every dollar. Give us a call today.

Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD is the Managing Partner and Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. and is a contributor to national media and publications such as Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and has appeared on Good Morning America Weekend Edition and WDIV Channel 4. A leader in his profession, Tim served on the National Board of Directors for the 28,000 member Financial Planning Association™ (FPA®), mentored many CFP® practitioners and is a frequent speaker to organizations and businesses on various financial planning topics.

---

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Center for Financial Planning, Inc. and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Roth IRA owners must be 59½ or older and have held the IRA for five years before tax-free withdrawals are permitted.

New Investor Access Tool: Account Aggregation

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth

Investor Access has just added a neat new feature to the platform that allows you to organize your accounts so that they are easier to keep track of on the website.  If you are a subscriber to Investor Access, you are now able to create groups of accounts and aggregate them to different categories.  If you are not signed up for Investor Access, now is a good time to try it. You can take advantage of this feature in many ways, but here are a few ideas and examples to help you organize your accounts:

• Cluster accounts by account owner and/or by account type
• Separate your cash accounts from investment accounts
• Separate your savings accounts from your checking accounts
• Group your retirement accounts together
• Group your individual or trading accounts together

However you choose to use this tool, it should make managing and maintaining your accounts a little easier with better organization.

CLICK HERE for more detailed instructions on how to take advantage of this new feature.

If you are not familiar with Investor Access, follow the “Investor Access” link at the top of our website to find out more.  And as always, please contact any of our Center Client Service Associates with any questions!

Nicholas Boguth is an Investment Research Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.

Family and Finances: How to Help Aging Parents Stay in Control

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

I recently attended my daughter’s college orientation.  During one of the presentations to parents, the speaker said something that struck a chord with me:

“As hard as it may be, it is time for you as parents to let go of the reigns and give your children control of their own lives. Let them take care of things for themselves and make their own decisions. This may mean that they make some mistakes, but this is the time for them to learn.” 

Wow!  Did that hit home!  How hard is it as a parent to let go and let your child start doing things for themselves when you have been doing things for them for the last 17 – 18 years?  But isn’t this what your child has been waiting for?  To be an adult and to have control over his or her own life?  Isn’t that what we all wait for?

Why Control Matters at Any Age

As I sat and thought about the issue of control a bit more, I began to think about the older adult clients that I work with and about how hard they fight to keep control over their lives as they age.  I thought about the adult children of those clients who often feel as if, at some point, they may have to take away that control if the older adult losses the capacity to maintain control for themselves.  It can be particularly stressful for adult children to be put in a situation of needing to take over “control” for their aging parents without having a clear idea of their parents’ desires for their lives as they age.  So, what can be done to avoid this potential situation?

• Have open and honest conversations about the older adult’s plans for their future aging life; this may include a family meeting (tips here on having your own) that is led by your financial planner to include conversations about financial assets and how longer term care planning and future housing options might be funded.

• Make sure that all of the proper estate planning documents are up-to-date and that they are accessible (consider keeping copies on file with your financial planner’s office, as well).  Particularly important are Durable Power of Attorney Documents for General/Financial and Health Care/Patient Advocate.

• Ensure that all wishes and plans for the future are documented in writing.  Also make sure to have your financial affairs organized and documented.  Our Personal Financial Record Keeping System & Letter of Last Instruction is one helpful tool you can use.

Control is something we all want to have over our own lives … and something we fight to keep.  As parents of young adults, we struggle to let go of the control for fear that our children might take a few falls.  At the same time, we might be struggling with the thought of having to take control from aging parents who might be struggling with capacity issues as they age.  But, if you’ve planned ahead and helped your parents communicate their wishes, you won’t have taken their control from them at all. Instead, you will be assisting them in carrying out their own well-designed future.

Sandra Adams, CFP® is a Partner and Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Sandy specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and is a frequent speaker on related topics. In 2012-2014 Sandy has been named to the Five Star Wealth Managers list in Detroit Hour magazine. In addition to her frequent contributions to Money Centered, she is regularly quoted in national media publications such as The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine and Journal of Financial Planning.

---

Five Star Award is based on advisor being credentialed as an investment advisory representative (IAR), a FINRA registered representative, a CPA or a licensed attorney, including education and professional designations, actively employed in the industry for five years, favorable regulatory and complaint history review, fulfillment of firm review based on internal firm standards, accepting new clients, one- and five-year client retention rates, non-institutional discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered, number of client households served.

This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Sandy Adams, CFP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. You should discuss any legal matters with the appropriate professional.

Making Sense of Market Volatility

Contributed by: Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD

Dear Clients & Friends:

At the risk of stating the obvious, the equity markets experienced some wild swings toward the end of August.  When I was interviewed by Channel 4’s Rod Meloni on August 25th – the 2nd consecutive day of the stock slide – I talked about opportunities I see.  But Rod described it best when he said Cedar Point had nothing on the US Stock market – quite a rollercoaster. 

I’d like to walk you through where the equity markets stand as of September 1, 2015, share some insights as to some of the factors that may have led to such volatility, discuss what may occur in the near future, and importantly what you might do.

Where do equity markets stand on September 1, 2015?

The three major domestic indexes plunged and rallied in quick succession, but ended the month down more than 6%, with the broad-market Standard & Poor’s 500 marking its worst month in three years. International stocks, as measured by the MSCI EAFE index fared a bit worse than their US counterparts.

What combination of factors got us here?

It is natural to seek “causes” or an explanation when stocks go on a wild ride (which is more often than we think). Though there’s no easy answer, here are 4 contributors:

1. China: As my colleague Angela Palacios shared in our August 25th Investment Commentary, weak or at least slowing growth in China is the most widely cited cause of the stock market pullback. After decades of rapid economic growth, recent evidence has shown that China’s growth is slowing. The central bank of the world’s second-largest economy devalued its currency in an attempt to stimulate growth and thwart a stock-market bubble. After those efforts proved futile, Chinese stocks dropped and concerns about growth in China and across the globe sent stocks around the world plunging soon after. The primary Chinese stock exchange, the Shanghai Composite Index, has dropped roughly 40 percent since its June peak.

2. Falling oil, commodity prices: Oil prices are hitting lows not seen in years due to falling demand, oversupply and concerns over global economic growth. Other commodity prices have also declined due to economic growth fears.

3. Interest rate uncertainty: Short-term interest rates have hovered near zero since the 2008 financial crisis. The U.S. economy has recovered enough that the Federal Reserve has indicated it will raise interest rates and return to more normalized monetary policy in the months ahead. Uncertainty over the timing has weighed on investor sentiment, further muddying the timeline for a hike. Falling values in U.S. and world equities complicate the Fed’s decision.

4. Natural market cycles: Markets are cyclical in nature. Declines, though unsettling, are normal and necessary when asset prices climb too high. The S&P 500 index has steadily risen since March 2009, but hadn’t experienced a 10 percent correction since mid-2011. Analysis by Raymond James experts shows the S&P 500, on average, endures three 5-percent pullbacks and one 10-percent correction every year.

Certainly no one knows for sure – but we believe that the four forces above provide a significant part of the explanation or cause.

Will there be a retest of the recent market lows?

After seeing a nearly 10% drop in stocks, stocks rebounded rather quickly by what Jeffrey Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James, would term a “throwback rally” – something that is rather normal from a historical standpoint.  Jeff also points out:

“The follow-up from a 2 – 7 session ‘throwback rally,’ from a massively oversold condition, typically leads to a downside retest.”

Moreover, it looks like that retest began Monday 8/31/15. According to Jeff Saut, a key factor will be whether a retest brings about new lows (below 1867); which could mean further losses.

Another market commentator and Wharton finance professor, Jeremy Siegel, opined recently:

“When there’s a sharp decline and then a rally, usually you’ll get another downward leg that will test that decline.”

According to Professor Siegel, the Dow Jones may ultimately drop 15% from recent highs before recovering to around 19,000 by year-end. He doesn’t see a recession in the US or a bear market.  Time will tell – Saut and Siegel are veterans with vast historical perspective.

While some of the more negative news is grabbing the headlines, as you would expect there are a variety of balancing factors at play.

Recent data reports continue to suggest moderately strong growth in the U.S. economy. Consumer spending improved in July, durable goods orders increased, the housing market is strengthening, and household income advanced. The estimate of second quarter GDP growth was revised to a 3.7% annualized rate (from 2.3% in the advance estimate).

Oil prices reached a six-year low in recent weeks, which should be good for the American consumer, but less so for energy companies. Still, as energy prices stabilize, inflation should move somewhat higher and Federal Reserve policymakers will begin to raise short-term interest rates ahead of that.

The Federal Reserve’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming saw central bankers discussing inflation, the global economy and the fallout from China’s economic woes, but officials provided no clear guidance as to the timing of the first increase in the federal funds target rate. The St. Louis and Cleveland Fed Bank presidents reiterated, ahead of the retreat, that U.S. fundamentals remain strong and a September rate hike is still a possibility.

“It shouldn’t really matter whether the Fed begins to raise rates in September, late October, or mid-December,” noted Raymond James Chief Economist Scott Brown on August 31st. “The important thing is the pace of tightening beyond that first move …The economy has made enough progress and is strong enough that it can easily withstand a small increase in rates.”

A retest is certainly possible, but recession is not imminent and many see higher stock prices by year-end.

What to Do?

During volatile times, dispensing the advice of “Do nothing because you’re a long term investor” almost seems pedestrian and stale.  As shared by Angela, a few things to consider include (1) Make sure your long-term allocation is still appropriate, (2) Double check that your time frame is correct for the investments in your portfolio, and(3) Review and consider your risk tolerance for those investments.  Additionally, while all of the news on bonds in general is negative due to expected interest rate increases – US Treasuries and high quality corporate bonds still provide some of the best diversification or negative correlation when stocks slump.  Additionally, this is a good reminder to review expected cash needs and set aside the appropriate amount.

I’m sharing all this with you to keep you informed about global economic movements and market events. I understand that seeing the short-term impact of volatility on your portfolio can be unsettling. During uncertain times, it can be assuring to stick to the investment strategy that we have developed together. For 30 years now, The Center’s focus has remained on disciplined investing and it has served generations of clients. In the meantime, we’ll continue to monitor market developments and update you accordingly.  Should you have any questions about the markets or your long-term financial plan, feel free to contact us. We are here to help.

Sincerely,

Timothy Wyman, CFP™, JD

Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD is the Managing Partner and Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc. and is a contributor to national media and publications such as Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and has appeared on Good Morning America Weekend Edition and WDIV Channel 4. A leader in his profession, Tim served on the National Board of Directors for the 28,000 member Financial Planning Association™ (FPA®), mentored many CFP® practitioners and is a frequent speaker to organizations and businesses on various financial planning topics.

---

The opinions expressed in this update are those of Timothy Wyman and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James, and is subject to change without notice.

Investing involves risk, and investors may incur a profit or a loss. Past performance is not an indication of future results and there is no assurance the trends mentioned will continue or that any forecasted events will occur. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index of 30 widely held stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ National Stock Market. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) index is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the international stock market. International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability. These risks are greater in emerging markets. The performance noted does not include fees or charges, which would reduce an investor's returns. The process of rebalancing may result in tax consequences.

Raymond James Financial Services does not accept orders and/or instructions regarding your account by e-mail, voice mail, fax or any alternate method. Transactional details do not supersede normal trade confirmations or statements. E-mail sent through the Internet is not secure or confidential. Raymond James Financial Services reserves the right to monitor all e-mail. Any information provided in this e-mail has been prepared from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed by Raymond James Financial Services and is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision. Any information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation. Raymond James Financial Services and its employees may own options, rights or warrants to purchase any of the securities mentioned in this e-mail. This e-mail is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and may contain confidential and/or privileged material. Any review, retransmission, dissemination or other use of, or taking of any action in reliance upon, this information by persons or entities other than the intended recipient is prohibited. If you received this message in error, please contact the sender immediately and delete the material from your computer.